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Admiral Loinpresser

(3,859 posts)
9. This looks completely as unscientific as any online poll where Bernie wins IA handily.
Tue Nov 3, 2015, 03:05 AM
Nov 2015
Public Policy Polling surveyed 638 usual Republican primary voters and 615 usual Democratic
primary voters from October 30th to November 1st. The margin of error for both parties is +/-
3.9%. 80% of participants responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have
landlines conducted the survey over the internet.


With 80% landline, this poll comes close to eliminating young Millenials, Bernie's strongest demographic. "Usual" Democratic primary voters also skews against Millenials. Only "Democratic" in the sample omits two categories where Bernie does better: Independents and Republicans.

No telling what the real numbers are, but the most credible polls I have seen put Bernie down in IA about 6-7 points which is perfectly understandable given the millions HRC has poured into ads in the last month. Our air game is just now coming up and there is a canvassing push this coming weekend. I can't go because I'm working on Saturday, but spread the word if you know anybody in an adjacent state. If you need a contact to get hooked up, I can try to connect you. Maybe they could even put people up on a couch. I've done that in Iowa a couple of times.
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