PPP Poll - Sanders 24%

[BrotherIvan]

131. She still is over 50%, but her lead is slipping

The idea that she is the inevitable, unbeatable candidate who should run unopposed is the same thing they tried in 2008. And as her lead was eaten at by Obama, the narrative for his is that he had momentum while she was losing. That's a bad position to be in. Every one of her moves were seen as just trying to hold on. Why anyone thinks that can't happen again, I don't know.

The best news is that the media has already made the expectations for Bernie so low, he has nowhere to go but up. Every poll, every announcement will be cause to celebrate. It will energize his supporters and make him seem fresh and exciting. If Hill's supporters are anything in real life like they are on DU, they will be chasing people away in droves. A lot of her early polls with big leads are people saying they will vote Democratic, and she was the presumed nominee. As that changes and more people hear about Bernie, the polls will shift, count on it.

I am not one who is so confident in his chance. The money is a big deal and he will be outspent 1000-1. And obviously there is a lot of identity politics at work as well.