Democratic Primaries

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

34. Maybe but I feel we've been hearing this since he announced.

Mon Jun 17, 2019, 11:40 PM

Jun 2019

When Biden put out his first video, the narrative was that his lead would collapse quickly. It didn't.

When Biden held his rally in Philadelphia, officially kicking off his campaign, many predicted his lead would collapse quickly. It didn't.

When Biden changed positions on Hyde, many said that was the beginning of the end. It wasn't.

Now it's the debates - and then what?

Maybe it's time to face the reality: Biden is well-liked by Democrats and has a strong level of support that is propelling him.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

40 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Biden shows a 22% lead over closest rival in new poll. [View all] MineralMan Jun 2019 OP

I suspect that shortly after the debate next week we'll see a shift in the polls and.... George II Jun 2019 #1

Probably so. It will be interesting to see how the MineralMan Jun 2019 #12

Good to see. cwydro Jun 2019 #2

Here is the image from the prior poll for comparison Indygram Jun 2019 #3

Yes. Biden has the same numbers in that one, too. MineralMan Jun 2019 #14

Yeah, Bernie and Mayor Pete dropped Indygram Jun 2019 #19

Yes, there's some shifting around in the second tier. MineralMan Jun 2019 #21

+/- 4.8% points DrToast Jun 2019 #30

It will be the largest lead he ever has. Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #4

This message was self-deleted by its author NYMinute Jun 2019 #6

All of the experts in the media said the same thing in relation to him officially entering the race. Skya Rhen Jun 2019 #8

You're right. It could go entirely the other way as well. Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #11

In reality, most primary voters won't watch the first debates. MineralMan Jun 2019 #23

I don't know about others but Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #33

Perhaps. We shall see. MineralMan Jun 2019 #15

Very true. Right now, all polls can be taken with a grain of salt. That goes for GE polls as well. Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #22

I agree - but I also think 2016 numbers are different. Drunken Irishman Jun 2019 #35

Bush trailed Kerry by 6 ponts or so all of June in 2003* Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #37

I can't find any poll where Kerry, or any Democrat, led Bush in 2003. Drunken Irishman Jun 2019 #38

No i was wrong. I thought it was 2003 not 2004. Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #40

Maybe but I feel we've been hearing this since he announced. Drunken Irishman Jun 2019 #34

Consistent polling like this by January phd next year will Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #36

K&R nt NYMinute Jun 2019 #5

K&R Scurrilous Jun 2019 #7

FWIW 538 gives HarrisX a C+ n/t MarcA Jun 2019 #9

OK. Thanks. MineralMan Jun 2019 #16

His problem is that his opposition is divided and he is well below 50% marylandblue Jun 2019 #10

It would be truly remarkable if anyone had 50% in a field of 24. MineralMan Jun 2019 #24

Yes you are correct, but I expect the field to winnow down soon. marylandblue Jun 2019 #29

Biden and Beto have the same type of supporters JI7 Jun 2019 #13

Or, it could go the other way, just as easily. MineralMan Jun 2019 #17

Not likely Indygram Jun 2019 #39

Looks like he weathered the Hyde amendment issue. honest.abe Jun 2019 #18

I don't think it ever hurt him at all, really. MineralMan Jun 2019 #20

Yep. honest.abe Jun 2019 #32

"Remarkably, nobody but Biden in this poll exceeded the 15% rule delegate cutoff. " SouthernProgressive Jun 2019 #25

Seems some grapes are souring. LakeArenal Jun 2019 #26

But the debates! Wait for the debates! MineralMan Jun 2019 #27

Eh, either might be good. 🤷🏼‍♀️ LakeArenal Jun 2019 #28

KR! Cha Jun 2019 #31