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Democratic Primaries

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

37. Bush trailed Kerry by 6 ponts or so all of June in 2003*

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #35)

Tue Jun 18, 2019, 12:47 AM

Jun 2019

Not the extent to what trump is trailing all our front runners, but still notable.

That being said, I really hope you are right. I jist jave my nagging doubts after being burned so many times

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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Biden shows a 22% lead over closest rival in new poll. [View all] MineralMan Jun 2019 OP

I suspect that shortly after the debate next week we'll see a shift in the polls and.... George II Jun 2019 #1

Probably so. It will be interesting to see how the MineralMan Jun 2019 #12

Good to see. cwydro Jun 2019 #2

Here is the image from the prior poll for comparison Indygram Jun 2019 #3

Yes. Biden has the same numbers in that one, too. MineralMan Jun 2019 #14

Yeah, Bernie and Mayor Pete dropped Indygram Jun 2019 #19

Yes, there's some shifting around in the second tier. MineralMan Jun 2019 #21

+/- 4.8% points DrToast Jun 2019 #30

It will be the largest lead he ever has. Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #4

This message was self-deleted by its author NYMinute Jun 2019 #6

All of the experts in the media said the same thing in relation to him officially entering the race. Skya Rhen Jun 2019 #8

You're right. It could go entirely the other way as well. Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #11

In reality, most primary voters won't watch the first debates. MineralMan Jun 2019 #23

I don't know about others but Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #33

Perhaps. We shall see. MineralMan Jun 2019 #15

Very true. Right now, all polls can be taken with a grain of salt. That goes for GE polls as well. Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #22

I agree - but I also think 2016 numbers are different. Drunken Irishman Jun 2019 #35

Bush trailed Kerry by 6 ponts or so all of June in 2003* Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #37

I can't find any poll where Kerry, or any Democrat, led Bush in 2003. Drunken Irishman Jun 2019 #38

No i was wrong. I thought it was 2003 not 2004. Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #40

Maybe but I feel we've been hearing this since he announced. Drunken Irishman Jun 2019 #34

Consistent polling like this by January phd next year will Tiggeroshii Jun 2019 #36

K&R nt NYMinute Jun 2019 #5

K&R Scurrilous Jun 2019 #7

FWIW 538 gives HarrisX a C+ n/t MarcA Jun 2019 #9

OK. Thanks. MineralMan Jun 2019 #16

His problem is that his opposition is divided and he is well below 50% marylandblue Jun 2019 #10

It would be truly remarkable if anyone had 50% in a field of 24. MineralMan Jun 2019 #24

Yes you are correct, but I expect the field to winnow down soon. marylandblue Jun 2019 #29

Biden and Beto have the same type of supporters JI7 Jun 2019 #13

Or, it could go the other way, just as easily. MineralMan Jun 2019 #17

Not likely Indygram Jun 2019 #39

Looks like he weathered the Hyde amendment issue. honest.abe Jun 2019 #18

I don't think it ever hurt him at all, really. MineralMan Jun 2019 #20

Yep. honest.abe Jun 2019 #32

"Remarkably, nobody but Biden in this poll exceeded the 15% rule delegate cutoff. " SouthernProgressive Jun 2019 #25

Seems some grapes are souring. LakeArenal Jun 2019 #26

But the debates! Wait for the debates! MineralMan Jun 2019 #27

Eh, either might be good. 🤷🏼‍♀️ LakeArenal Jun 2019 #28

KR! Cha Jun 2019 #31