Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: African American South Carolinians weigh in on Biden's comments (Report by CNN's Martin Savidge) [View all]Kind of Blue
(8,709 posts)in the top 5 hoping to beat 45 from the Quinnipiac poll seen earlier this month. I'm not sure right now so that may have changed. https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2627
I don't argue Biden's strong AA support but I don't believe it is permanent, riding I think on Pres. Obama's coattails. After all, he has tried for the presidency at least 3 times and lost every one in low numbers. This, imo, is more than distracting tantrums and shouldn't be swept under the rug as such. As BlackPAC Executive Director Adrianne Shropshire said in his latest poll results, "Name identification, which is driving support for candidates at this point, will be insufficient for decisively winning the Black electorate and subsequently, securing the nomination. Candidates must use this critical window to define their campaigns around these concerns- an unyielding commitment to halting the rise of bigotry and curbing widening racial disparities in our economic, healthcare, and education systems." https://blackpac.com/new-poll-black-voters-are-highly-motivated-to-push-our-country-back-on-track/
As more of Biden's record in our community comes out that the other candidates may/will use in their bid for the nomination I think that it will certainly reduce favorability and turnout especially among not only older AAs but the young, as well, as was the case with HRC and this is fair to think about.
As for South Carolina, Biden's nice 45% has fallen to 37% as Warren jumped from just 8% to 18% from May 31st to June 14th, as per the latest 538 polling of June 16th and we're still early in the game. If Biden can pull it off and win, I'm all for it. But right now, I'm not about a candidate who can discourage with head-scratching utterances and depress turnout. I want the candidate, I think are all excellent except Biden, who will energize and turnout the vote in numbers never seen before. But now and the coming year, as far as I'm concerned, our vote is definitely Biden's to lose.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided