Democratic Primaries

Amimnoch

(4,558 posts)

76. Actually, the results lined up very well with matchup polls in battlegrounds.

Mon Nov 11, 2019, 01:57 PM

Nov 2019

Leading right up to it:

In Pennsylvania, the results were 100% within the margin of error:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_clinton-5633.html

Michigan was right there:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/mi/michigan_trump_vs_clinton-5533.html

Wisconsin was definitely off, facts can't argue there:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html

Ohio was spot on, and Ohio is both almost always accurate, and since JFK Ohio has backed every president that took office:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_trump_vs_clinton-5634.html#!

Agree with it or not, like it or not, this election, just like all of them, the next presidency will not be determined by the popular vote. Battleground states WILL determine who wins. Even if Wisconsin was inaccurate leading up, these battleground state polls are the only and best indicator that we have to make INFORMED decisions by. As of last week, and the 2 months prior running, Joe polls better in battleground states than any of the other frontrunners.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287334724

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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New poll reveals Warren strongest declared candidate against Trump as 'Uncle Joe' struggles [View all] NewsCenter28 Nov 2019 OP

Get ready 3-2-1: but she can't win the general. LOL vsrazdem Nov 2019 #1

It seems like no woman can in America SterlingPound Nov 2019 #3

Not Warren, whose own economist says her M4All in the context of her other plans, over 30 hugely emmaverybo Nov 2019 #8

Sounds like a pro-Proposituon 13 talking point. BlueWI Nov 2019 #22

Her economist said it. Read all the proposals, many of which would benefit well to do people emmaverybo Nov 2019 #28

Any plan to cover uninsured and underinsured people BlueWI Nov 2019 #85

Or so 'they' say... flying_wahini Nov 2019 #26

YOU would, Many support M4All, for exactly that reason--to undermine and hopefully abolish emmaverybo Nov 2019 #34

So in reality Continue to do Nothing SterlingPound Nov 2019 #75

I am talking about doing something about our current system regardless of the fate of emmaverybo Nov 2019 #77

National polls mean very little; it's all about the battleground states LongtimeAZDem Nov 2019 #13

Well, we didn't do so well with that logic last time. vsrazdem Nov 2019 #19

I'm on record; I hold your preferred candidate significantly responsible for that LongtimeAZDem Nov 2019 #20

Oh yes, some candidates shouldn't be allowed to win primary battleground states. Really? vsrazdem Nov 2019 #21

He shouldn't have run against he like she was Joe Lieberman. StevieM Nov 2019 #24

Not at all what I'm talking about LongtimeAZDem Nov 2019 #25

We were kicking Trump's ass the last time, until Comey intervened. StevieM Nov 2019 #23

Even WITH Comey, we BlueMTexpat Nov 2019 #65

I think you are underestimating Comey's influence. StevieM Nov 2019 #73

Possibly. BlueMTexpat Nov 2019 #86

Actually, the results lined up very well with matchup polls in battlegrounds. Amimnoch Nov 2019 #76

Except for the fact that she didn't win all those in the primary. vsrazdem Nov 2019 #79

With the exception of Wisconsin, all were within the MOE. Amimnoch Nov 2019 #80

Yes, and you would think if you don't win certain battleground states in the primary, you should vsrazdem Nov 2019 #82

She spent more money in WI and MI than Obama did in 2012. StevieM Nov 2019 #87

Well that may be, but the DNC was warned ahead of time by Dingle that things were not looking good vsrazdem Nov 2019 #88

We did not take these states for granted. StevieM Nov 2019 #90

No, the defintely took Michigan for granted. It was more important to stay in Iowa, which was a big vsrazdem Nov 2019 #91

She did make appearances in Michigan. StevieM Nov 2019 #93

I don't see that at all from that poll. OldRed2450 Nov 2019 #2

Here we go again Hav Nov 2019 #4

LOL!! peggysue2 Nov 2019 #27

You do not mention Bloomberg. He also in that day's poll, with an MOE of 3 points, runs 6 pts, emmaverybo Nov 2019 #5

That poll also has Bloomberg at 43-37 or +6 llke Warren; meanwhile, Biden is at +4 in a poll LongtimeAZDem Nov 2019 #6

Serious cherry picking here. boomer_wv Nov 2019 #71

oh yeah! Kurt V. Nov 2019 #7

Ummm?? Don't think so Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #9

Which poll? pnwmom Nov 2019 #10

I don't think bringing attention to Warren's tie with an undeclared candidate is such a great idea. beastie boy Nov 2019 #11

False Obit list now up to 1000+ ? Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #15

And getting funnier... i mean longer with each day. beastie boy Nov 2019 #17

I too lol@ your "false obit list".. Cha Nov 2019 #63

Aloha, Cha! beastie boy Nov 2019 #67

I hadn't heard that.. there's Cha Nov 2019 #68

Good NycMarv Nov 2019 #12

welcome to DU gopiscrap Nov 2019 #94

I don't think you posted the right poll for your headline. OldRed2450 Nov 2019 #14

Oh the voice of sanity!! THX Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #16

(Edited title after misunderstanding) Hav Nov 2019 #18

I am fully aware of what I posted here NewsCenter28 Nov 2019 #29

I posted the polls below...Biden is leading. Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #31

The trouble is she is not besting Trump in GE polls. Biden is...These are approval/disapproval Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #32

You may stand by what you said but it remains a sloppy and wrong conclusion Hav Nov 2019 #36

IA and NH, small, very white do not reflect the country as a whole Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #42

Smearing Biden over Trump's Ukraine lies? No thanks n/t emulatorloo Nov 2019 #69

Your 'poll' shows just the opposite...and by adding the Ukraine lies to the mix, you bring right Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #72

Explain how you get this from the polls at your link...and maybe consider revising this post. Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #30

See post above Dem NewsCenter28 Nov 2019 #33

Approval vs. Disapproval is what is being measured. Unless Warren's numbers were way outside emmaverybo Nov 2019 #39

You are wrong - it's two different questions Fiendish Thingy Nov 2019 #57

OK. Fair enough. Let's see if she picks up considerably in national polls, with AA electorate, and emmaverybo Nov 2019 #59

You can't be serious. That is your evidence for Warren leading...approval /disapproval. Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #40

That's your opinion Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #44

Actually, your point is right there, in the OP beastie boy Nov 2019 #49

I'm just thinking ahead NewsCenter28 Nov 2019 #35

It is a different world...and Warren is doing worse than Biden in most polls...and there are 8 Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #46

NYT/sienna poll Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #47

Your Take on a Single Poll With all 4 Top Candidates Beating Trump Equally Based on MOE is Funny Indykatie Nov 2019 #37

I'm more moved by state polling mzmolly Nov 2019 #38

Message auto-removed Name removed Nov 2019 #70

lol. Warren evertonfc Nov 2019 #41

VP Biden is a good guy but all he has offered so far is Prosper Nov 2019 #43

And how, when our safety net is threatened, so many EXISTING social programs and services across emmaverybo Nov 2019 #50

BS. democratisphere Nov 2019 #45

Repeating that Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #48

My stutter. democratisphere Nov 2019 #56

In case no one noticed, "Uncle Joe" isn't struggling.... George II Nov 2019 #51

No.. he isn't with a rash a new polls showing him besting his leads or retaking leads Thekaspervote Nov 2019 #53

I know...Biden is doing great but hey I hear Mayor Pete is surging now. Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #55

There you go, bursting the bubble of the inevitability/electability mythology nt Fiendish Thingy Nov 2019 #52

Did you look at the one poll? Measure approval and disapproval...having supported candidates who Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #54

I strongly disagree Gothmog Nov 2019 #58

hes the only one who makes me feel safe and secure from day 1... samnsara Nov 2019 #60

hunter is biden's e-mails. pansypoo53219 Nov 2019 #61

LOL! That particular poll is a fluke. That's a Morning Consult poll, and their last poll 10 days highplainsdem Nov 2019 #62

"Uncle Joe" is ageism and should be banned from DU. gulliver Nov 2019 #64

Idon't like it.. It's silly.. Joe Biden is the former Vice President of Cha Nov 2019 #66

Yes. An ageist and patronizing insult embedded in the OP. Joe Biden is the former, highly emmaverybo Nov 2019 #78

I call him that because I love him nini Nov 2019 #89

Thanks, but you have to ask with any name used, "Would the person called that name appreciate it?" gulliver Nov 2019 #92

Warren is the weakest general election candidate in the real world Gothmog Nov 2019 #74

Biden is leading in latest Q poll in NH due to electability Gothmog Nov 2019 #81

I saw that...in Warren's own backyard yet. Demsrule86 Nov 2019 #83

We still need a lot more "against Trump" polls from swing states. nt LAS14 Nov 2019 #84

Joe Biden is the most electable candidate that the Democratic Party has available Gothmog Nov 2019 #95