Democratic Primaries

Celerity

(54,801 posts)

66. tell me how Sanders gets to 50% +1 on a first ballot

Thu Nov 14, 2019, 03:37 PM

Nov 2019

We all know that the super-delegates (who come into play after the first ballot) will NEVER flip to Senator Sanders.

As I have previously stated, I simply do not see a trajectory wherein even Warren plus Sanders combined get to that (50% + 1) point, but even if they did, it will be Warren with more delegates than Bernie, and she will not step aside in that case. Also, there is almost no chance that either's delgates will make an even remotely close to 100% clean break flip to the other. Every single poll that documents 2nd choice candidates show this to be true. They each have different bases of support, with SOME overlap, but certainly are not mirror-imaged.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Highlight:

Cenk Uygur of 'The Young Turks' Files to Run for Congresswoman Katie Hill's Seat... [View all] babylonsister Nov 2019 OP

Did He Have A Hand In Discrediting Her? Me. Nov 2019 #1

With the misogynistic attitude he has, I would not be surprised. efhmc Nov 2019 #2

Without an ounce of proof, this is a pretty nasty thing to say. HerbChestnut Nov 2019 #4

His past misogyny is well-known. TwilightZone Nov 2019 #12

Thank you for making my case. All I had for proof was listening to him. efhmc Nov 2019 #17

I wasn't talking about his past behavior. HerbChestnut Nov 2019 #20

My, My, My Me. Nov 2019 #15

This is Christy Smith who's running for #CA25.. Cha Nov 2019 #26

I personally would have lots of BlueMTexpat Nov 2019 #48

I loathe cenk.. so Cha Nov 2019 #69

All Right Me. Nov 2019 #60

Aloha and A'ole pilikia, Cha Nov 2019 #70

He's written some pretty bad things... NurseJackie Nov 2019 #6

I know cenk discredited himself.. Cha Nov 2019 #5

Interesting timing that all this comes to light on the same day as a state visit. NurseJackie Nov 2019 #49

No he did not. vsrazdem Nov 2019 #13

THank You Me. Nov 2019 #16

I can't imagine that he did. TwilightZone Nov 2019 #19

K n R JoeOtterbein Nov 2019 #3

Fat chance The Valley Below Nov 2019 #7

I am for Cenk in this race TSIAS Nov 2019 #8

cenk has a history of sexism, too.. Cha Nov 2019 #10

FRankly Nothing Is Beyond Him When It Comes To Many Dem Women Me. Nov 2019 #18

Exactly, Me.. can you believe it.. " known sexist" wants to Cha Nov 2019 #21

umm.... so does Joe Biden - n/t Locrian Nov 2019 #58

Ummm NO Biden Does NOT. Cha Nov 2019 #71

We don't need a genocide denier in Congress. RandySF Nov 2019 #34

That makes a lot of sense. BannonsLiver Nov 2019 #44

How the hell you compare Cenk to Warren? MrsCoffee Nov 2019 #52

America's dad? MrsCoffee Nov 2019 #53

Was your post satire? awesomerwb1 Nov 2019 #77

ugh EveHammond13 Nov 2019 #9

Progressive Group Ousts Cenk Uygur Over Past Sexist Writing Cha Nov 2019 #11

Any candidate who writes sexist "essays" like that should be forever shunned... NurseJackie Nov 2019 #50

"We do not feel that Mr. Uygur is fit to lead or participate in an organization.." Cha Nov 2019 #68

I'll support his Democratic opponent in the primary. n/t PhoenixDem Nov 2019 #14

There is a really good one. She is currently a California Assemblywoman and before that a Blue_true Nov 2019 #22

What's her name, Blue_true..? I hope she wins. Cha Nov 2019 #23

Christy Smith. nt Blue_true Nov 2019 #25

Thanks.. yes I found her.. see #24, please.. Cha Nov 2019 #27

I found her, Christy Smith! Cha Nov 2019 #24

What's her name? Has she announced yet? n/t PhoenixDem Nov 2019 #54

Christy Smith. Blue_true Nov 2019 #81

Just donated to her .. thanks n/t PhoenixDem Nov 2019 #94

party enid602 Nov 2019 #28

He is running as a democrat according to a summary of the special election. nt Blue_true Nov 2019 #82

Cenk. sheshe2 Nov 2019 #29

He denied the Armenia Genocide up until 2016 RandySF Nov 2019 #30

Yep. Disqualifying. OldRed2450 Nov 2019 #32

I did that a couple weeks ago. RandySF Nov 2019 #33

High five! OldRed2450 Nov 2019 #36

Thank you, OldRed! Cha Nov 2019 #42

After years of denying the Armenian genocide, Cenk Uygur now says he doesn't know enough about it OldRed2450 Nov 2019 #31

Post removed Post removed Nov 2019 #35

At least he has a pair? OldRed2450 Nov 2019 #37

This message was self-deleted by its author BannonsLiver Nov 2019 #45

I guess it takes a pair to deny the Armenia genocide. RandySF Nov 2019 #38

Bull.Progressive Group Ousts Cenk Uygur Over Past Sexist Writing Cha Nov 2019 #39

You Are So On This Me. Nov 2019 #61

yep Eliot Rosewater Nov 2019 #64

Mahalo, Eliot.. and Aloha! Cha Nov 2019 #74

So are all of you Cha Nov 2019 #73

... Me. Nov 2019 #85

Katie Hill and Christy Smith tweets.. Cha Nov 2019 #86

I Have A Feeling Girl Power Will Win Out Here Me. Nov 2019 #88

This is another time I absolutely hope Cha Nov 2019 #89

Sooner Or Later Me. Nov 2019 #90

how can AOC run in 2024 unless Rump wins? Or are you saying Biden will be a 1 termer? Celerity Nov 2019 #40

It's POSSIBLE, though doubtful, if President Sanders steps aside for AOC... perhaps becoming her VP? InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2019 #65

tell me how Sanders gets to 50% +1 on a first ballot Celerity Nov 2019 #66

Counting Bernie out is always a dangerous proposition. InAbLuEsTaTe Nov 2019 #67

I do not buy into non-documented positings that are just based off vague generalities Celerity Nov 2019 #78

male body parts are not required for courage Skittles Nov 2019 #43

Screw that misogynistic pig running for her seat. MrsCoffee Nov 2019 #51

"Paranoid establishment Dems?" ehrnst Nov 2019 #56

lol.. "a pair" of what? Cha Nov 2019 #75

Democratic? Republican? Libertarian? Jewls2 Nov 2019 #41

Cenk Uygur is running as a Democrat. NT Eric J in MN Nov 2019 #46

Hm. Jewls2 Nov 2019 #47

The primary will be a jungle primary. Blue_true Nov 2019 #83

From Katie Hill Gothmog Nov 2019 #55

That tweet is perfect. MrsCoffee Nov 2019 #62

Wow.. This Is Perfect.. Mahalo, Goth! Cha Nov 2019 #72

Thank you Hill. Women taking on misogynist Cenk. Works for me. Jewls2 Nov 2019 #76

Opportunistic, corporate-backed vulture. (nt) ehrnst Nov 2019 #57

If I were to create a sentence using words BootinUp Nov 2019 #59

Ugh... Blue_Tires Nov 2019 #63

Brawawaaaa! From Christy Smith.. Cha Nov 2019 #79

He did his part to get Trump elected. betsuni Nov 2019 #80

Yes. Don't follow him. Skidmore Nov 2019 #84

Thank you for Highlighting Cenk's part in trump Cha Nov 2019 #87

He has an awful lot of baggage. betsuni Nov 2019 #91

Yes cenk does.. and so arrogant Cha Nov 2019 #92

I'm sure he is proud of himself. NT TidalWave46 Nov 2019 #93

Christy Smith seems to be doing well Gothmog Nov 2019 #95

Special election is set for March 3/Super Tuesday Gothmog Nov 2019 #96

cenk Whines about getting kicked off msnbc bc President Obama! Cha Nov 2019 #97

Rudnick for CA25 micDROP Nov 2019 #98