Democratic Primaries

bluewater

(5,420 posts)

8. According to the 538 model Biden is at 26.2% not even breaking 30%

Mon Dec 23, 2019, 05:04 PM

Dec 2019

check that out yourself:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/

THIS is why Michael Bloomberg thinks he can win the nomination, no candidate is able to clear even 30% in the polls.

And the trend is that virtually every candidate is either barely flat or trending downwards in the polls.

Bloomberg has seen this and is committing $100 MILLION to his presidential bid.

Don't believe he can win? Money talks in presidential politics.

Time will tell.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

62 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Personal Prediction: Bloomberg will be our Democratic Nominee [View all] bluewater Dec 2019 OP

I find that highly unlikely. David__77 Dec 2019 #1

Bloomberg is even less of a Democrat than Sanders. PubliusEnigma Dec 2019 #2

Sanders is more of a Democrat... Cornus Dec 2019 #60

OMG that is hilarious!! Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #3

According to the 538 model Biden is at 26.2% not even breaking 30% bluewater Dec 2019 #8

No... I don't believe he can win.... Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #11

Some television stations will gladly take Bloomberg's money. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #14

He's closing in on 4th place already... bluewater Dec 2019 #22

Are those legs TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #31

That ticket would win the oh so important upper Midwest. bluewater Dec 2019 #35

Bloomberg indeed has cross-party appeal Zorro Dec 2019 #38

I disagree as to your comment about the ticket being a strong one, TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #44

Okay. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #43

That would be an interesting ticket (nt) Recursion Dec 2019 #49

Simple math. A large number of candidates means Qutzupalotl Dec 2019 #53

The only polls we should be looking at are the head-to-head polls... SKKY Dec 2019 #57

It still matters squirecam Dec 2019 #61

Bloombergs message is helpful but our nominee? Nah. pwb Dec 2019 #4

Um, no. n/t Downtown Hound Dec 2019 #5

Mr. Stop And Frisk will never get enough African American votes Sloumeau Dec 2019 #6

+1000 GitRDun Dec 2019 #42

Um MFM008 Dec 2019 #7

Not going to happen. bucolic_frolic Dec 2019 #9

Perhaps. But he was elected mayor of NYC three times... bluewater Dec 2019 #13

NYC is vastly different from the rest of the US. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #16

Time will tell. bluewater Dec 2019 #21

I would say "if" instead of "when". TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #28

Well I don't know about that. He doesn't have much to offer. YOHABLO Dec 2019 #10

You're right... does not support $15 minimum wage. Thinks legalization of marijuana is the Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #12

Isn't Biden against legalization of marijuana too? bluewater Dec 2019 #17

Nope WA-03 Democrat Dec 2019 #55

You forgot the sarcasm tag! nt USALiberal Dec 2019 #15

Pete might not think it's sarcasm. bluewater Dec 2019 #19

Unless he gets over 15% in an individual state primary. House of Roberts Dec 2019 #18

Very true. nt bluewater Dec 2019 #20

Bloomberg-Klobuchar Ticket bluewater Dec 2019 #23

I would sign up for Bloomberg/Klobuchar right now Awsi Dooger Dec 2019 #46

I can see that being a winning ticket Baked Potato Dec 2019 #54

1st Post Debate Poll from Morning Consult ritapria Dec 2019 #24

Wow, Bloomberg at 6% and he wasn't even in the debate. bluewater Dec 2019 #25

Post removed Post removed Dec 2019 #26

I hope not. jrthin Dec 2019 #27

Wait til the Negative Ads get run that expose him speaking at the 2004 RNC in support of W liskddksil Dec 2019 #29

For never trumpers, that is a plus and so is his stop n frisk program. MerryBlooms Dec 2019 #47

Winston Churchill changed political parties twice Zorro Dec 2019 #59

No way Historic NY Dec 2019 #30

Getting to 7% after something like 4 weeks of intensive advertising karynnj Dec 2019 #32

very true. bluewater Dec 2019 #36

Yep. And it will be fun to watch loads of people not vote because the rich guys have, Nay Dec 2019 #58

Bloomberg's money hasn't reached our house. No to Hortensis Dec 2019 #33

Remember the Starbucks guy? dawg day Dec 2019 #34

I really do not believe so. BlueMTexpat Dec 2019 #37

Bloomberg is the inevitable result of money's influence on elections bluewater Dec 2019 #40

He'll likely be a BlueMTexpat Dec 2019 #48

If so, then get ready for 4 more years of trump. nt redqueen Dec 2019 #39

What if he runs third party? MichMan Dec 2019 #41

Don't think so. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #45

Interesting thought. cwydro Dec 2019 #50

I wish him the best, but I do feel like there are other very good candidates out there now. ... SWBTATTReg Dec 2019 #51

Is today April Fool's Day? greatauntoftriplets Dec 2019 #52

Funny I was telling my wife the same thing Dan Dec 2019 #56

He's already spent $100m and that's pocket change to Bloomberg. Aaron Pereira Dec 2019 #62