Democratic Primaries

ritapria

(1,812 posts)

6. Bernie has a realistic chance of being nominated

Thu Dec 26, 2019, 08:30 PM

Dec 2019

I don't believe he is the frontrunner ..Biden is the frontrunner and has the best chance of being nominated .. But…...Bernie is only 2% behind Pete in Iowa , slightly ahead of the pack in NH ….He is very well organized in NV and strong with Latinos there ….. His biggest hurdle, by far , is SC where most polls show Biden way ahead ...Bernie needs to win Ia, and NH 1 week later, and parlay that to an upset in NV …. If he pulls off that troika , will Biden's SC firewall , based on the electability argument , hold or crumble ? ...If it crumbles, Bernie will crush it in CA , MN , CO , VT, ME , MA and OK - a primary he won in 2016 ….He will also get a big chunk of delegates in the Southern Super Tuesday States as well ……… Unlike 2016 , he doesn't start out the game way behind the 8- ball because superdelegates can't vote on the first ballot …. Bernie has the highest net favorability and a huge grassroots army no other candidate can match …………….

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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Highlight:

Politico Claims Dems Think Bernie Can 'Win the Nomination' Even Though Zero of Them Said That [View all] highplainsdem Dec 2019 OP

some journalist: not spelling out your actual plan for this or that is a winning formula. Kurt V. Dec 2019 #1

politico the graveyard of the worst hacks lol nt msongs Dec 2019 #2

Tell me about it. Their "writers" are the WORST! Copying-and-pasting from press releases... NurseJackie Dec 2019 #68

Politico is largely an outlet for shills who barely disguise their agendas. The Valley Below Dec 2019 #3

+++ still_one Dec 2019 #18

"That's propaganda not journalism." --- Yes indeed. NurseJackie Dec 2019 #69

Not if he is polling at 15% with African Americans with a ceiling of 21%. demgrrrll Dec 2019 #4

African Americans are not the only voter group. Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #5

No, Sanders ISN'T leading with both whites and non-whites overall. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #9

He s leading among non whites in latest marist and all the polls you shared Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #12

GOOOOOAAAALLLLLLLL Tiggeroshii!!! InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #15

That Marist poll is an outlier. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #16

Apparently the rest that you shared are too Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #19

Telemundo poll of Latino voters in CA, TX and NV: highplainsdem Dec 2019 #20

Holy dated information, batman!! Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #21

That poll's only a few weeks older than the Marist poll. Do you know of a more recent poll of only highplainsdem Dec 2019 #33

Try a month Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #35

No, it isn't. But keep clinging to your cherrypicked poll... highplainsdem Dec 2019 #36

. Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #37

Well, the Emerson poll you cite there had Sanders down 2 points and Warren down 8 points from a highplainsdem Dec 2019 #38

He is well positioned in the early states, and the more recent polls show him leading non-whites. Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #44

LOL. Keep dreaming... highplainsdem Dec 2019 #45

Two months from now, I won't be the one dreaming. Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #46

Biden's led all year. The Sanders mini-surge is probably partly a sympathy vote because of highplainsdem Dec 2019 #47

So far the only things you've had to back that up are several b- or below rated polls, a nearly Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #48

CNN is A-rated. Quinnipiac is B+. Please try getting some facts right. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #50

Both which have no information pertaining to our discussion. Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #53

Stop with the facts Tiggeroshii... under the "Bernie Standard," you should never let facts InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #54

Shame on me!! Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #55

You should read more closely. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #28

No he isn't. He's falling further behind. George II Dec 2019 #39

I'm convinced! Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #49

I'm glad, thanks... George II Dec 2019 #51

Welcome!!! Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #52

No, he's not. TwilightZone Dec 2019 #11

Leading among non whites Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #13

Cherrypick much? highplainsdem Dec 2019 #29

I'm not the one that chose a 2 month old poll to counter two A rated polls taken within the week. Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #56

I don't know where you get "taken within the week." The Marist poll was taken over two weeks ago, highplainsdem Dec 2019 #58

You're right Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #60

Sigh. Will you please try to get some facts right? I said it was a few weeks older than the Marist highplainsdem Dec 2019 #61

Specifically by about a month Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #64

RCP avg for SC which is the bellwether for the AA voting block Biden 35% sanders 15.3 Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #24

Every repug wins general without AA. And Bernie is winning non whites, as well as is motivating Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #34

Bernie has a realistic chance of being nominated ritapria Dec 2019 #6

Great analysis! Tiggeroshii Dec 2019 #14

Yes, Joe is CURRENTLY the frontrunner... BUT the trend is Bernie's friend!! InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #17

Yes, just like the trend was Warren's friend...until it wasn't. LOL. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #22

This!! Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #25

Rah rah rah, sis goombah! Joe is on his way to the nomination AND the presidency. George II Dec 2019 #40

Your opinion Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #27

Very well organized in NV, but 10% behind Biden! AND barely qualifying in SC.... George II Dec 2019 #42

I don't believe that Bernie will do well in any of the southern states. TexasTowelie Dec 2019 #67

It must be Sander's time to take shots from the circular firing squad Dopers_Greed Dec 2019 #7

SERIOUSLY!! But that's just the fear factor and how you know Bernie is increasing in popularity!! InAbLuEsTaTe Dec 2019 #23

Increasing in popularity? He hasn't cracked 20% since April - eight months ago! George II Dec 2019 #43

Politico again.. making false claims. Cha Dec 2019 #8

You're welcome, Cha! I thought that Politico article needed a reality check. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #10

Politico needs fact checking a lot!! Thekaspervote Dec 2019 #26

No kidding. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #30

It did.. TY! That's not the only one.. Cha Dec 2019 #41

He could. But we won't know who will be the nominee until PatrickforO Dec 2019 #31

it's a battle between......... Skittles Dec 2019 #32

Whatever.. Whoever can BEAT #45IMPEACHED is Fucking AWESOME. Cha Dec 2019 #57

And Biden can beat him. highplainsdem Dec 2019 #59

Exactly! So Biden is Cha Dec 2019 #62

Awesome OP title! Wawannabe Dec 2019 #63

David Sirota's buddies at work churning out BS articles about BS nt NYMinute Dec 2019 #65

More misinformation from the BS camp nt PhoenixDem Dec 2019 #66

That's all they've got... NurseJackie Dec 2019 #70