Democratic Primaries

Thekaspervote

(35,819 posts)

31. RCP avg SC Biden 32 Sanders 15 538 poll avg SC chances of winning Biden 63 sanders 26

Sun Feb 2, 2020, 10:47 AM

Feb 2020

538 chances of winning the nomination
Biden 1 in 2
Sanders 3 in 10

538: Predicted pledged delegates so far
Biden 1718
Sanders 1284

Still wanna stir?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Oh NO! South Carolina slipping away from Joe! [View all] bluewater Feb 2020 OP

K&R CentralMass Feb 2020 #1

Uh ohhhh!! Alert! Alert! Calling billionaire Bloomberg to buy a Biden backup bailout plan... InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #39

:-) CentralMass Feb 2020 #44

Will you all support the Democratic nominee regardless of who it is? CurtEastPoint Feb 2020 #2

Will Biden Supporters support Sanders if he is the nominee? bluewater Feb 2020 #3

that is the big question, right? RazBerryBeret Feb 2020 #10

It sure is... I do wonder sometimes. But Im stayin positive that they'll eventually come around. InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #65

Bloomburg is the safety valve. nt UniteFightBack Feb 2020 #16

Recent polling shows that Biden supports agree to at the highest %. themaguffin Feb 2020 #24

Actually, Warren Supporters were most loyal to any Democratic Ticket. bluewater Feb 2020 #30

An exciting primary, Iowa saidsimplesimon Feb 2020 #51

I think that she is still in this. This could play out so many ways, but she is well positioned for themaguffin Feb 2020 #73

Of course we will. Codeine Feb 2020 #40

Biden doesn't surround himself with Jill Stein voters and people who trash the Democratic Party. MrsCoffee Feb 2020 #42

That's the REAL question, since Bernie's OBVIOUSLY gonna be the Democratic nominee. InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #43

Lol. ehrnst Feb 2020 #46

............ dware Feb 2020 #47

More than the other way around. Joinfortmill Feb 2020 #53

A huge percentage of Biden voters wil vote for the D no matter who, same can't be said for a large % lark Feb 2020 #59

I certainly will. CentralMass Feb 2020 #23

Wow, if SC really is in play, then that's a game changer. Kentonio Feb 2020 #4

And the Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada contests haven't even happened yet. bluewater Feb 2020 #6

re: "Imagine the impact if Biden under performs in those." thesquanderer Feb 2020 #32

It's not. Loki Liesmith Feb 2020 #7

It could very well be. bluewater Feb 2020 #9

It's over for Joe, before it even began, like his 2 previous primary race losses in 1988 & 2008. InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #45

It isn't. See reply 55. This and the previous Change Research poll done for that paper have been highplainsdem Feb 2020 #56

. HeartlandProgressive Feb 2020 #67

Backatcha. Cha Feb 2020 #74

Average your polls please Loki Liesmith Feb 2020 #5

The polls are what the polls are. bluewater Feb 2020 #8

Average your polls please. Loki Liesmith Feb 2020 #11

People can ignore changes in the polling landscpae at their own peril. bluewater Feb 2020 #14

See reply 55. This poll was an outlier in December,s too. And their new poll results are close to highplainsdem Feb 2020 #58

. HeartlandProgressive Feb 2020 #66

Still in the denial stage. InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #50

Whoa. Sugarcoated Feb 2020 #79

cf their December poll Biden (-2). Sanders (-), Steyer (+13), Warren (-8) denem Feb 2020 #12

I could buy it getting closer DeterDeter Feb 2020 #13

I updated my reply for the trend. denem Feb 2020 #15

polls from other outfits I mean DeterDeter Feb 2020 #18

Fox News Biden +21, January 9. denem Feb 2020 #22

Lol for the "oh no." But then I remembered how much Hortensis Feb 2020 #17

People should start accepting the possibility Joe Biden might not be the nominee. bluewater Feb 2020 #20

But FIRST consider the consequences of each choice. Hortensis Feb 2020 #25

Thank you for pointing this out. The Velveteen Ocelot Feb 2020 #36

So TheFarseer Feb 2020 #37

I think you bring up some excellent points Docreed2003 Feb 2020 #63

"Cutting significantly into" his lead? The last Post and Courier had Biden over Sanders 27-20..... George II Feb 2020 #19

Souh Carolina seems to like several older white male candidates. lol bluewater Feb 2020 #26

Ah Yes- The demise of Biden's campaign again. How many times has that been declared by redstateblues Feb 2020 #61

More like the Biden Campaign that never really took off... bluewater Feb 2020 #71

Like the old bumper sticker "I might be slow but I'm ahead of you" redstateblues Feb 2020 #72

Oh noes! Faux pas Feb 2020 #21

Until the next poll comes out showing Biden still strong there book_worm Feb 2020 #27

Fortunately, real voting in SC will occur soon. bluewater Feb 2020 #29

See replies 54 and 55. This poll's an outlier, as it was in December. highplainsdem Feb 2020 #57

. HeartlandProgressive Feb 2020 #68

My two favorite guys! They would make one hell of a team. Autumn Feb 2020 #28

RCP avg SC Biden 32 Sanders 15 538 poll avg SC chances of winning Biden 63 sanders 26 Thekaspervote Feb 2020 #31

"RCP has a dirty secret! It's poll aggregate now falls under scrutiny" bluewater Feb 2020 #33

Wow. Inevitability narrative crumbling in 3,2,1... nt Fiendish Thingy Feb 2020 #34

Not when the poll's been an outlier for months. See replies 54 and 55. highplainsdem Feb 2020 #60

. HeartlandProgressive Feb 2020 #69

We can attribute the Steyers increase due to OliverQ Feb 2020 #35

If Sanders can win SC, most of the arguments against his candidacy go away Recursion Feb 2020 #38

Steyer at 18% won't hold scheming daemons Feb 2020 #41

+1000 UniteFightBack Feb 2020 #64

Steyer is flooding Dawgman49 Feb 2020 #48

South Carolina is an open primary state. ooky Feb 2020 #49

uh oh evertonfc Feb 2020 #52

C-rated Change Research poll. A-rated Fox News poll found Biden with a 21-point lead a couple of highplainsdem Feb 2020 #54

This poll's an outlier, like their previous SC poll, which had Biden with only a 7-point lead in highplainsdem Feb 2020 #55

. HeartlandProgressive Feb 2020 #70

Is that all you got.. can't debate. Cha Feb 2020 #75

K&R!! InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #62

No RandySF Feb 2020 #76

Look how happy tom steyer is to be next to bernie Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #77

My prediction Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #78

Bookmarking! TexasTowelie Feb 2020 #80

Good luck with your forecast Metodiko Feb 2020 #81

A new DU-er goes back to a month old thread to "grade me" lol bluewater Feb 2020 #82