Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Democratic Primaries

George II

(67,782 posts)

6. Their averages include all candidates, they don't eliminate anyone under the magic 15%....

Reply to Tiggeroshii (Reply #4)

Mon Feb 3, 2020, 02:10 PM

Feb 2020

That's why they show Sanders with 10.5, Biden 5.6, Buttigieg 3.9, and Warren 3.4. But the last two won't get those 7.3 delegates combined, they'll be split by Sanders and Biden.

As of today:

Sanders 24.0
Biden 16.9
Warren 13.8
Buttigieg 12.9

Based on this, Sanders will get 5 of the statewide delegates, Biden 3, the others 0.
District-wise, Sanders will get about 9 or 10, Biden 6 or 7, the others 0.

That's 14-15 vs. 9-10.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

11 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Bernie Sanders holds "commanding lead" in New Hampshire, ahead among moderate and conservative voter [View all] OliverQ Feb 2020 OP

SWEEEET!! Oh sorry, forgot NH doesnt count anymore, now that Bernie is crushin it there!! InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #1

And don't forget "Iowa is not very important" either. bluewater Feb 2020 #5

Course not, unless Joe wins...then it's the best win in political history & the race is over!! InAbLuEsTaTe Feb 2020 #10

Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Feb 2020 #2

What constitutes a "commanding lead"? He'll get about 14 delegates, Biden about 10. George II Feb 2020 #3

538 projects Biden at about 6 delegates in NH Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #4

Their averages include all candidates, they don't eliminate anyone under the magic 15%.... George II Feb 2020 #6

Huh. Maybe so. Either way 538 also just has him leading by 4 Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #7

Numbers won't be final until after the votes, but there won't be a huge difference in delegates..... George II Feb 2020 #8

Sounds right Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #9

Same as 2016. How'd that work out for him? octoberlib Feb 2020 #11