Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Starting to pay attention to Bloomberg more closely [View all]Cornell Engineer
(80 posts)ain't too good at picking candidates with general appeal. Only 1 outta their last 4 presidential nominees managed to win the general election...and they were running against 2 of the worst Gopper goons in history. We nominate Sanders and you can probably make that 1 outta 5.
The moderate liberals (Biden, Buttigieg & Klobuchar) got around 55% of the Iowa vote while the progressive liberals (Sanders & Warren) only got about 45%...albeit the numbers are still trickling in. If they can't get even half of the Democratic Party how the hell will they get half of the entire electorate? These numbers accurately reflect the fact that progressives don't even make up half of all Dems. And the last time I checked there weren't very many self-identified liberals/progressives who are registered as Independents (less than 25%, in fact). Math certainly doesn't seem to be my fellow progressives strong suit.
If we Democrats are actually stupid enough to shoot ourselves in the foot yet again I may have to eat a bullet because I'm not sure I can take another 4 years of Fuhrer Drumpf. Folks can bitch all they want about some of Bloomberg's choices and policies in the past but we'd all be a lot better off with him in the White House than Sanders out of it if that is the choice that it ultimately comes down to.
Who Will Win The 2020 Democratic Primary?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/
I'm just gonna sit back for a few months and see what happens. If 538 is anywhere close to being right (and they usually are) we may be looking at a brokered convention.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden