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Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Yes, Iowa matters. No, Bloomberg is not a contender. [View all]Garrett78
(10,721 posts)24. Fine, I'll do the legwork. Here's one:
http://theconversation.com/money-in-elections-doesnt-mean-what-you-think-it-does-104452 (scroll down a ways)
And the Freakonomics authors famously wrote about this issue.
Also, there's a big difference between raising a lot of money via donations and spending one's own money. If someone has raised a lot money via small donations, it's safe to say that person has a lot of support. But simply being a billionaire says no such thing. Sure, buying ads helps, and there being millions of ignorant people helps. But Bloomberg winning the Democratic Party nomination ain't happening.
It's all about delegate math. Show me how Bloomberg hypothetically and realistically ends up with a majority of delegates. Where do you see him winning or at least walking away with a large number of delegates on Super Tuesday?
And the Freakonomics authors famously wrote about this issue.
Also, there's a big difference between raising a lot of money via donations and spending one's own money. If someone has raised a lot money via small donations, it's safe to say that person has a lot of support. But simply being a billionaire says no such thing. Sure, buying ads helps, and there being millions of ignorant people helps. But Bloomberg winning the Democratic Party nomination ain't happening.
It's all about delegate math. Show me how Bloomberg hypothetically and realistically ends up with a majority of delegates. Where do you see him winning or at least walking away with a large number of delegates on Super Tuesday?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
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Iowa and New Hampshire always have an outsized influence on the following contests.
Garrett78
Feb 2020
#5
It will be forgotten after Super Tuesday, and I believe that the top 5 candidates will see it
still_one
Feb 2020
#7
The fiasco will be forgotten, but my point is that the narrative that comes out of IA and NH...
Garrett78
Feb 2020
#16
Yep. With Sanders ascending and Joe faltering, Bloomberg becomes the obvious moderate
stopbush
Feb 2020
#4
If Biden doesn't do at least third next week, I'll be flipping over to Bloomberg after SC.
Zolorp
Feb 2020
#13
Tell me how Bloomberg wins a majority of delegates. That isn't going to happen.
Garrett78
Feb 2020
#6
the bigger issue isn't caucuses or not at all. the issue is this primary system we have is
Kurt V.
Feb 2020
#3
I understand our point Kurt, but i think putting the candidates in full campaign
still_one
Feb 2020
#32
There are all sorts of ways to do things differently, but caucuses need to go.
Garrett78
Feb 2020
#11
We do. Many of us have been singing that song for a long, long time. Don't hold your breath.
Garrett78
Feb 2020
#34
Please. Anyone with $50+ billion that he or she is willing to spend is a contender. n/t
Laelth
Feb 2020
#19
Funny you should say that bc Iowa just proved that it doesn't matter THAT much...
Vivienne235729
Feb 2020
#29
Clearly, as I already said, Iowa's impact this year has been dampened. In general, though...
Garrett78
Feb 2020
#33