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Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: 538: Bernie Sanders now forecasted with best chance to Win Democratic Primary [View all]ChubbyStar
(3,191 posts)28. To quote a Biden supporter and DONOR
If he came in fourth, yeah, that could hurt, said Bill Freeman, a Biden donor from Nashville, Tennessee, who added that he hadnt even considered such a possibility heading into Mondays caucuses. Thats a bad night, no matter how you spin it.
https://apnews.com/8a6ea236b5abcb43b40f79cfbf3f8c20
Doesn't sound like Bill thought Joe would be so far behind.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
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538: Bernie Sanders now forecasted with best chance to Win Democratic Primary [View all]
Tiggeroshii
Feb 2020
OP
Actually they don't because they can't get people to work for or with them.
The Velveteen Ocelot
Feb 2020
#42
Have a look at the various comments and tweets of his campaign staff
The Velveteen Ocelot
Feb 2020
#89
A lot gets accomplished under authoritarians... for instance, the trains run on time...
ehrnst
Feb 2020
#105
...they said, with no evidence in an entirely speculative and dismissive fashion.
ehrnst
Feb 2020
#110
Predicting a winner of the GE before the first Primary is finished is over is wiser?
ehrnst
Feb 2020
#22
We sure are Tig! Glad to see ima better prognosticator than 538;been callin it for Bernie for YEARS!
InAbLuEsTaTe
Feb 2020
#31
If Bernie is strong enough to beat out a very talented field to get the nomination
totodeinhere
Feb 2020
#93
So you think that Democrats can't be trusted to choose their favorite candidate?
ehrnst
Feb 2020
#23
I don't have an opinion of the Democratic/ Republican and Independent voters who
Tiggeroshii
Feb 2020
#24
That's what you're implying... that nearly four million votes could be attributed to
ehrnst
Feb 2020
#30
I don't really know what you're talking about exactly, so it is difficult to have this discussion.
Tiggeroshii
Feb 2020
#34
I'm talking about ***your*** implication that Republicans and Independents voting
ehrnst
Feb 2020
#40
Democratic voters didn't choose the candidate that we now know Russia and the GOP wanted
ehrnst
Feb 2020
#76
Your refusal to face other numbers other than Joe came in 4th, in the end will not serve well
Thekaspervote
Feb 2020
#71
Yeah, tired of losin! We learned by nominating Obama; now it's Bernie's time to finish the job
InAbLuEsTaTe
Feb 2020
#38
exactly - I've seen this movie before: people are sick and tired of the establishment - n/t
Locrian
Feb 2020
#43
You mean the polls that don't take into account that he's been the favored Dem nominee of Russia
ehrnst
Feb 2020
#121
...they said, with no evidence in an entirely speculative and dismissive fashion.
Tiggeroshii
Feb 2020
#15
Bernie is proving he can win by actually winning primaries and caucuses. Biden is showing that he
Tiggeroshii
Feb 2020
#18
Sanders won 1 caucus in an overwhelmingly white state that played to his strengths.
bearsfootball516
Feb 2020
#33
He's already won a total of 22 primaries and caucuses (in 2016), and is projected to win TX and CA
Tiggeroshii
Feb 2020
#36
Of note from 538's projections: Sanders and Biden now have about equal chance of winning SC
thesquanderer
Feb 2020
#62
No he is not! His vote total in IA which he did not win, went from 40+ in 16 to 25+ in 2020
Thekaspervote
Feb 2020
#56
Biden has run for President 3 times. This is the first time he made it to Iowa before dropping out
Tiggeroshii
Feb 2020
#58
The main attacks that I saw on Warren, other than at the debates, were from people writing articles
Sloumeau
Feb 2020
#108
Indeed..also notice even 538 has not addressed the issue of sanders dismal polling with AA
Thekaspervote
Feb 2020
#64
There are some indications that AA support for Biden is slipping in South Carolina.
totodeinhere
Feb 2020
#119
It doesn't change the facts that the gop is rigging our primary. Sanders the nominee we will lose
Thekaspervote
Feb 2020
#79
Most depressing thing I've read all day. If Sanders is our nominee, the GOP will take him
highplainsdem
Feb 2020
#73
And there are mountains of material the gop is amassing to use against him
Thekaspervote
Feb 2020
#81
You'll see, if we're unfortunate enough to get stuck with Sanders as the nominee.
highplainsdem
Feb 2020
#120
Given Sanders' attacks on his rivals, why should they let him continue to get away with as
highplainsdem
Feb 2020
#127
Anecdotally, I have a number of independent friends, my spouse included, that won't vote for Bernie
redstateblues
Feb 2020
#117
I don't think Nate Silver's model takes into account just how..shall we say "polarizing"
OneMoreCupOfCoffee
Feb 2020
#134
A week agao, all the detractors LOVED 538 when Joe was ahead in their model. lol
bluewater
Feb 2020
#136