Democratic Primaries

Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)

15. He is not gaining any ground in more diverse states yet and he did not outright win

Fri Feb 7, 2020, 04:57 AM

Feb 2020

Iowa by 538 standards. They explained that an outright win would have put him up to 10%, but mixed results would keep him around the same. If he had lost Iowa, then they would have put him at 0. Also Bernie is polling very well among POC in a way that Pete just hasn't quite managed yet. If polls show that he will however, then that could change the forecast substantially. Remember Biden is still getting the bulk of his support from before, just ot as much as it used to be.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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538 and Iowa: What a crock. [View all] denem Feb 2020 OP

Agreed. TexasTowelie Feb 2020 #1

Yep squirecam Feb 2020 #5

This is stupid Jarqui Feb 2020 #2

In other words, nobody knows what the hell is going on The Velveteen Ocelot Feb 2020 #3

+1 denem Feb 2020 #4

Thank-you. Well said still_one Feb 2020 #7

I miss the old days. Scurrilous Feb 2020 #14

The bros are buying it. Scurrilous Feb 2020 #6

That was correct based on polling on Jan. 10th when Biden was leading. It narrowed a lot Quixote1818 Feb 2020 #8

And Buttigieg got no lift at all for (partially ) winning Iowa? denem Feb 2020 #9

I don't know why you bother explaining everything Awsi Dooger Feb 2020 #10

Maybe you can explain why Buttigieg had 4% caucus night, and 3% now. denem Feb 2020 #11

He is not gaining any ground in more diverse states yet and he did not outright win Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #15

Biden is no HRC. denem Feb 2020 #16

But him and pete seem to be taking just enough support Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #18

As I said below, HRC won 88% of the AA vote all up, according to exit polls, denem Feb 2020 #20

That sounds right Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #21

This message was self-deleted by its author denem Feb 2020 #23

Crickets? denem Feb 2020 #12

This message was self-deleted by its author Scurrilous Feb 2020 #13

I keep saying Biden is no HRC. denem Feb 2020 #17

He won't need Hillary's numbers. It's not a two person race. Scurrilous Feb 2020 #22

You mention he can't win OK Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #19