Democratic Primaries

Tom Rinaldo

(23,187 posts)

6. I'm glad that we agree

Sat Feb 8, 2020, 07:51 PM

Feb 2020

Here is what I actually wrote:

"Biden doesn't have to win on Tuesday, or even come in second. He might even get away with coming in 4th, but he must close the gap between him and Buttigieg significantly, while not finishing further out of 3rd place than he did in Iowa."

So you see I think Biden could, for example, finish behind both Sanders and Buttigieg and come out of NH in reasonably good shape. So much depends on the margins. While we probably see those benchmarks differently I agree that Biden can exit NH a "loser" and still win the Democratic nomination.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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What some (predominantly) white folks can tell us on Tuesday [View all] Tom Rinaldo Feb 2020 OP

Sanders must win NH squirecam Feb 2020 #1

That's about right. When those first four states have voted Biden will be close to or in the lead. George II Feb 2020 #3

If he doesn't win NH his campaign takes a hit. How big depends on the margin Tom Rinaldo Feb 2020 #4

Thanks, Tom elleng Feb 2020 #2

Biden does not have to beat Buttigieg in NH. He beats him by about every metric we should emmaverybo Feb 2020 #5

I'm glad that we agree Tom Rinaldo Feb 2020 #6

Fair enough. emmaverybo Feb 2020 #7

Based on the attack ad that Biden released against Buttigieg today Tom Rinaldo Feb 2020 #8