Democratic Primaries
Showing Original Post only (View all)What makes anyone think SC will be any different than IA & NH? [View all]
Diversity of the electorate withstanding, Biden's support in the first two states has collapsed. That's telling. Biden's not just losing, he's getting absolutely manhandled. There's no dismissing that because he's actually faired far worse in both states than the polls were predicting.
In Iowa, he did four-points worse than the polls suggested and was the only candidate, outside Stayer, who actually did worse overall compared to the pre-caucus polls.
In New Hampshire, it's looking like he's going to do three-points worse and that's not even comparing his totals to polls from a month ago when he was leading. Biden has seen a complete deterioration of support since the new year. And hoping somehow his fortunes will change in NV or SC is hoping against hope.
I really hate saying it but Biden is done. He's going to lose Nevada badly and SC is going to be irrelevant by that point as Biden has not proven at all he's a viable candidate. At this rate, I think Bloomberg wins SC as people of color abandon his campaign for fear it's completely sinking.
I hope I'm wrong but I don't see how Biden comes back from this. I had low expectations for both these states and Biden still failed to meet them.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden