What makes anyone think SC will be any different than IA & NH?

[Garrett78]

62. When the candidates are graded on their positions through a racial equity lens...

...Warren and Sanders do best (A-/B+). Biden, on the other hand, gets an F. And Bloomberg is a total disaster.

And surveys show huge support for what we in the US call "far left" positions.

But perceptions of viability and electability play a major role, especially for those who can least afford political losses. However, the electorate is changing and Sanders is becoming increasingly electable. We need to understand that opposition to the status quo is very, very strong right now.

Also, many people overestimate true swing voters (they're a pretty small group and what they tend to swing against is the status quo and whichever party has been in power) and completely misunderstand so-called "independents." Independents are not middle-of-the-road. They're very partisan but dislike partisanship. The average independent today is more partisan (more likely to consistently support a single party) than the average party-affiliated voter of the 1970s. They're also less likely to vote than party-affiliated voters.

The idea that we win by selecting a candidate or running a campaign who will appeal to middle-of-the-road voters (who are, in reality, few and far between) is fatally flawed.