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Democratic Primaries

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)

1. That assumes that the dynamics of the race haven't changed.

Reply to DanTex (Original post)

Wed Feb 12, 2020, 10:21 AM

Feb 2020

That would be a faulty assumption. If the primary goal of those moderate voters was to get rid of Trump, they may coalesce behind another moderate candidate instead of Sanders should theirs withdraw, particularly if they believe that Sanders would lose in November.

The race isn't the same as it was a week or two ago.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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The "Bernie versus everyone else" vote totalling is not just silly, it's also contrary to the data. [View all] DanTex Feb 2020 OP

That assumes that the dynamics of the race haven't changed. TwilightZone Feb 2020 #1

That poll I cited was Feb 4-9. DanTex Feb 2020 #3

That's more pundit-think TheFarseer Feb 2020 #5

No, it's understanding how the electorate thinks. TwilightZone Feb 2020 #9

The Biden and Warren vote collapsed in NH, denem Feb 2020 #2

I'm talking about national polls, where Bernie is now leading with nonwhite voters. DanTex Feb 2020 #4

It's also silly when people add up all the votes of the other candidates. TexasTowelie Feb 2020 #6

I've only seen people do it to Bernie, as in "70% voted against Bernie", but yeah, DanTex Feb 2020 #7

There is a frequent poster in this forum that has aggregated the poll results for Sanders and Warren TexasTowelie Feb 2020 #8

Several posters have been combining Sanders/Warren numbers all cycle. TwilightZone Feb 2020 #10

It's hard to know exactly where a voters preferences go after their primary candidates drops bearsfootball516 Feb 2020 #11