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Democratic Primaries

CalFione

(571 posts)

6. Considering he drastically underperformed his polls in both IA and NH..

Reply to DanTex (Original post)

Sat Feb 22, 2020, 02:05 PM

Feb 2020

...I would say yes.

The last polls in Iowa had him at 29 and his nearest competitor at 24. +5.

It ended 26-26.

In New Hampshire, his final polls had him up 30-23. +7.

It ended up 26-25.

So yes, when people actually vote... he underperforms his pre-vote polls.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Has there ever been an "outrage-du-jour" that actually hurt Bernie's numbers? [View all] DanTex Feb 2020 OP

Bernie's support is locked in and madville Feb 2020 #1

Do you understand how bookmakers and betting odds work? George II Feb 2020 #2

Yes. Actually I'm talking about markets, not bookies, but I understand how both work. DanTex Feb 2020 #3

We'll all see how markets work if & when Sanders becomes the Dem nominee. oldsoftie Feb 2020 #9

Is RSI repetive strain injury? Urban Dictionary isn't helping. The irisblue Feb 2020 #4

Yes. DanTex Feb 2020 #5

Thx, pretty sure it wasn't the respiratory therapy meaning. 🤨 irisblue Feb 2020 #7

Considering he drastically underperformed his polls in both IA and NH.. CalFione Feb 2020 #6

LOL. If only Bernie could manage a strong third-place, then he'd have a chance! DanTex Feb 2020 #8

The fact that late movers drastically move away from him is CalFione Feb 2020 #11

Bernie's going after some of the 90+million eligible voters who didn't vote in 2016. It's a jalan48 Feb 2020 #10

In NH, Bernie came in third among first-time voters CalFione Feb 2020 #12

This is about his recent "Democratic Establishment" comments. nt jalan48 Feb 2020 #13

Hasn't he always claimed to be doing this? And have they ever shown up? Squinch Feb 2020 #15

I think his recent establishment statement was an outreach to these voters. jalan48 Feb 2020 #17

And will likely have the opposite effect on many self-described Democrats ehrnst Feb 2020 #18

If so, it's a really, really dumb way to "outreach." Squinch Feb 2020 #19

Not really. My guess is that he's appealing to non-voters who want change and who see Centrist jalan48 Feb 2020 #21

Yes. He lost to Hillary in '16. Most congressional candidates he endorsed in '18 lost. beastie boy Feb 2020 #14

The tastiest tears are also the saltiest. Bonobo Feb 2020 #16

Does 2018 count as an "outrage du jour?" Because almost no one he or Squinch Feb 2020 #20