Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Democratic Primaries

Showing Original Post only (View all)
 

Renew Deal

(84,977 posts)
Sun Feb 23, 2020, 01:25 AM Feb 2020

Another possibility at the convention... Candidates combine delegates to make a ticket [View all]

"In 2020, there will be 4,750 delegates: 3,979 pledged delegates and 771 automatic delegates—more commonly known as superdelegates.[1]" https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020

Magic number is 1990

If the numbers look like this, no one has reached the magic number.

Sanders 1500
Buttigieg 850
Biden 750
Bloomberg 600
Others 279

Then Super Delegates come into play and the new magic number is 2375. Leave aside the possibility of Biden wanting to be VP a second time. I doubt that will happen. The fun really starts. If Buttigieg and Biden team up, they are at 1600 and need almost all of the Super Delegates. (This scenario makes the "Democratic Establishment" attacks a particularly dumb move.) Sanders and Warren team up and they get to around 1650 (which is looking more far fetched by the day).

The point is that if the candidates team up at the convention, they can assemble a winning coalition. It's not Sanders or Biden or Buttigieg against the world at that point. It could be Biden/Buttigieg, with Klobuchar as Secretary of Something.

The opposite can also happen. Sanders wins almost everything going into and out of Super Tuesday. Then the primary will be conventional. It will be like Kerry '04.

Just something to add to the long list of things to think about.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
15 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»Another possibility at th...»Reply #0