Democratic Primaries

squirecam

(2,706 posts)

12. Look at the Larry Sabado post

Thu Feb 27, 2020, 01:38 PM

Feb 2020

There is evidence Sanders is the worst choice to lead the ticket in the swing states.

we do think we know enough about the potential weaknesses of Sanders that our reaction to his nomination, if it happens, would be to shift some of the Electoral College against him and also to look at Trump as a small favorite for November.

http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-sanders-tax/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Buttigieg plots risky delegate strategy to survive Super Tuesday [View all] brooklynite Feb 2020 OP

Dukakis shouldn't necessarily be used as a reference for strategy nt sweetloukillbot Feb 2020 #1

His primary strategy was nothing short of brilliant dsc Feb 2020 #5

Absolutely Butterflylady Feb 2020 #8

Dukakis won the nomination. Laelth Feb 2020 #31

This could have worked if he started a few months ago jimfields33 Feb 2020 #2

He should get out...he only helps Sanders who won't win a general...for the good of the nation. Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #3

Please stop posting that Bernie is guaranteed to lose in the General. OliverQ Feb 2020 #10

Look at the Larry Sabado post squirecam Feb 2020 #12

Why would I care what Larry Sabado OliverQ Feb 2020 #14

If you want to ignore evidence, then fine. squirecam Feb 2020 #15

You're ignoring the evidence of Bernie OliverQ Feb 2020 #16

I didn't make the claim that there was no evidence squirecam Feb 2020 #17

punditry is not evidence. dumptrump1 Feb 2020 #19

If someone has an 80% chance to win squirecam Feb 2020 #20

10 months before an election cannot give you an 80% dumptrump1 Feb 2020 #21

I am, 10 months before an election, 80% or more sure squirecam Feb 2020 #22

Mondale and McGovern were probably 100% certain they would win more than their state dumptrump1 Feb 2020 #23

So that's a no then. squirecam Feb 2020 #24

no but Sabatos foundation for his claim is inherently flawed dumptrump1 Feb 2020 #25

He doesn't have an expanded base. The numbers in the early primaries show this clearly. Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #28

There is plenty of evidence. And I am not alone in my opinion...so no. Consider it a warning...and Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #27

There is zero evidence. OliverQ Feb 2020 #34

There is lots of evidence...Trump wants Sanders as the nominee...that alone is evidence...but there Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #35

Trump has stated conflicting things. OliverQ Feb 2020 #36

No we won't because he absolutely would lose and is supported by evidence.. Callado119 Feb 2020 #32

Absolutely no evidence supports that conclusion. OliverQ Feb 2020 #33

Yup! I will be pissed if he is part of the reason that we are stuck with Sanders helpisontheway Feb 2020 #18

If he acts as spoiler and Trump wins...he won't ever have another chance at the primary IMHO. Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #29

Buttigieg is currently second in delegates. musicblind Feb 2020 #38

Dukakis won what one state? Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #4

Actually, Dukakis won WA, OR, MN, IA, WI, NY, MA, RI, CT and WV brooklynite Feb 2020 #7

Shit, he won WV? Those were the days... nt sweetloukillbot Feb 2020 #13

Weren't They, Though...? The_Counsel Feb 2020 #26

Yep, there was a time when West Virginians cared deeply about their livelihoods and quality of life. musicblind Feb 2020 #39

That is truly horrible... Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #30

Here's the thing. Mayor Pete sitll thinks he has a path to the nomination. And apparently so does totodeinhere Feb 2020 #6

I doubt Pete, Amy or Liz will win delegates...so they will have to get out...sad for Sanders since Demsrule86 Feb 2020 #37

what is he hoping for? counting Feb 2020 #9

In a brokered convention Buttigieg's delegates would likely go to a Centrist, not Sanders or Warren. jalan48 Feb 2020 #11