Way too early, of course, but I'm guessing it's going to be Kamala Harris.

[Awsi Dooger]

48. I would not be confident with Kamala Harris against Trump

For many of the reasons you mentioned, plus others. A nominee from California would not be my first choice, virtually regardless of who it is. I have seen how that state is mocked in political terms among places where white males gather, or post. We can't afford to volunteer into easily stereotyped fear. That bleeds into other groups, not merely white males.

My summary would be that Harris' short stint as senator and particularly her aggressive questioning leads to an impression she is special, and that might carry over during a primary season. But once she is on her own in a national general election minefield against this lowlife president the Harris strengths would be minimized and suddenly weaknesses show up, ones that we should have foreseen.

I trust my instincts as a handicapper more than I trust Kamala's instincts against Trump. I hope Beto enters. We need an injection of true special.

Kamala right now is trading at 20 cents on Predictit, basically alongside Sanders and Biden. Beto is not too far down at 14 cents.

Harris is considered more likely here than she is viewed on the betting sites. Via that 20 cents (20 to win 80) you can receive 4/1 odds on her becoming the nominee.