Democratic Primaries

squirecam

(2,706 posts)

15. Here is the problem.

Thu Mar 5, 2020, 10:59 PM

Mar 2020

Michigan votes Tuesday. If Biden wins, Sanders will be desperate, as the last debate takes place only two days before Florida.

Even if Sanders won the debate, I don’t think it would change the math in Florida. Biden still wins big. But Sanders could perhaps damage the nominee by slinging as much mud as possible.

There is no reason to risk that. If this Tuesday goes as expected, and Biden wins Michigan, crushes Sanders in Mississippi, and gets a moderate win in Missouri, he will have a delegate lead that he will not relinquish, given Florida is next, and Biden is up huge there.

I think that things could possibly change. But that is all predicated on Sanders winning Michigan. If he doesn’t, there is no path to him winning the nomination. Just a long slog like 2016 that engenders bad feelings on both sides.

Trump is a direct threat to our democracy. We need to be united. Bernie needs to win Michigan, or withdraw from the race. If he wins Michigan, he could continue, but even then I expect Biden to still win Florida.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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This race needs to go on. At least for awhile longer [View all] Tom Rinaldo Mar 2020 OP

That's kind of funny, drumpf counting on trying to portray Biden as out of touch. lark Mar 2020 #1

On a par with Trump calling Democrats "dishonest" and "corrupt" Tom Rinaldo Mar 2020 #2

i have been working on a dance for that! lark Mar 2020 #3

I might still be able to pull an all nighter, but I'm not counting on it Tom Rinaldo Mar 2020 #9

Hopefully by then it will be apparent that it's time to PARTAY & lark Mar 2020 #10

The dustbin? relayerbob Mar 2020 #12

A few more weeks with a possible 2 or 3 person debate or 2 wouldn't hurt mvd Mar 2020 #4

Agreed. If Joe campaigns and debates effectively over the next few weeks, pampango Mar 2020 #7

I agree 100% democrattotheend Mar 2020 #8

Here is the problem. squirecam Mar 2020 #15

So we can't risk Biden having to debate one more time or campaign for another couple of weeks pampango Mar 2020 #21

If Bernie loses Michigan and Florida dansolo Mar 2020 #22

Right squirecam Mar 2020 #30

If Joe does that well on the 17th and is OK at the Phoenix debate that would show me pampango Mar 2020 #33

K&R. Great Post. I agree entirely. DanTex Mar 2020 #5

spot on... dhill926 Mar 2020 #6

I am Still Waiting to Hear from the Biden Campaign McKim Mar 2020 #11

Do you think Sanders would work for my vote if he was the nominee...no he wouldn't Vote blue no Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #16

+10000 Just_Vote_Dem Mar 2020 #29

The next three weeks should answer these issues relayerbob Mar 2020 #13

On March 17, Biden will have an insurmountable lead NCProgressive Mar 2020 #14

No doubt... Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #17

Absolutely. greatauntoftriplets Mar 2020 #31

I agree. Blue_true Mar 2020 #18

He won't, and I truly hope I am proven wrong. Celerity Mar 2020 #20

I think when it comes down to it, Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #32

Thank you nt ramen Mar 2020 #19

I remember a time when Sanders supporters were demanding Biden get out of the way. Talk about OnDoutside Mar 2020 #23

I remember a time when Democrats thought it was wrong to generalize about people Tom Rinaldo Mar 2020 #24

Ah yes, I remember when "Sanders supporters" didn't call Black voters "Low Information voters" ... OnDoutside Mar 2020 #26

I also remember when we used to vote on candidates, not on a subset of their alleged supporters Tom Rinaldo Mar 2020 #27

It should be clear by now that Joe is the stumble-proof Teflon candidate of the moment BeyondGeography Mar 2020 #25

You make some good points, and the end game might arrive sooner than it did last time around Tom Rinaldo Mar 2020 #28