Bob_Roony
Bob_Roony's JournalExit polls
shows that it is the non-white who tipped the scale. In PA, AA are 15% of dem voters compared to 22% in NY. Latinos are 4% in PA compare to 14% in NY. Bernie won the white vote 51%-49% DESPITE the fact that Clinton was NY senator for 8 years and they know her very well. She served them very well. In addition, if you look at the voters registration stats in PA, there were a lot of new voter registration and independent moving to dem. The deadline for party affiliation and new registration in PA and other states next Tue.was more favorable to Bernie's supporters. Clinton was not PA senator. I truly believe that Bernie is going to score big in PA. I can say the same for CT and RI (much less non white % voter and registration/change affiliation deadline favorable to Bernie supporters, and RI is mixed and not closed). If he can minimize his losses in MD (almost same % of non white in MD as in NY and and a bit less in DE), he can make up for NY loss.
I think Bernie's strategy in NY was to minimize his loss.
DON'T give up, and do the same work as you did in NY and things will be more favorable with time.
May and June primaries and caucuses are much more favorable to Bernie.
DON'T FUCKING GIVE UP. KEEP THE SAME ENERGY AND THINGS WILL CHANGE. Don't swallow the MSM poison being spewed now. It is not as bad as they are trying to portray it. They just want to demoralize Bernie's supporters and get him out.
I don't have an account at reddit, otherwise I would have posted this message there. Please post it there if you can.
The way I see it
it is difficult for Bernie to pull a win in NY, unless an MI-like surprise is in the horizon. The most important thing to us should be for the loss to be a single digit loss. You might disagree with my assessment, but a single digit loss will give Bernie a big momentum for PA and other states where he is doing much better. The probability for a PA win is high, along with RI and CT wins.
I'm hoping and praying for a Bernie win. I believe in God, and I believe that God may answer my prayers (although I'm a sinful person lol).
I found this tweet
Why does the Clinton Foundation have 3x more male execs & pay them 38% more?
And has a link to the tax return of the foundation.
http://990s.foundationcenter.org/990_pdf_archive/311/311580204/311580204_201312_990.pdf?_ga=1.5545712.291683474.1434655854
and below it a link to this Clinton tweet.
https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/719978036175773696
Is it true? I didn't read the whole tax return document, but is it true that somebody can infer the info claimed by reading the tax info?
If this is true, it will be another evidence of Clinton lies, dishonesty and hypocrisy.
Gap is closing
in PA. Clinton +6. I am sure the gap is closing in NY and elsewhere. Clinton is very nervous. Keep up the good work guys. Ground game coupled with an excellent performance by Bernie will deliver the needed wins.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=2341
Debate anywhere
I found this video on Bernie's twitter account. She is just a dishonest hypocrite who would say anything to get elected.
Good news
New York Congress Members Lobby Obama to Drop Massive Free Trade Deal.
http://observer.com/2016/03/new-york-congress-members-lobby-obama-to-drop-massive-free-trade-deal/
This is great news for Bernie. I think he should keep pounding on this issue. When all these reps. say that, it means voters are very worried about it.
About the latest polls
A poll showing Clinton and Sanders in a tie among democrats. Good news.
The other poll is about PA, showing Clinton with more than 20% lead. Here is what CNN has to say about this PA poll.
"The poll also does not use weighting to correct for older voters' being more likely to respond to surveys. That means older voters may be over-represented in the poll's results. About 4-in-10 respondents to this poll are 65 or older, and just 8% are in the 18-34 year-old demographic, which may have tilted the scales in Clinton's favor. Sanders has shown a consistently significant lead over Clinton among younger voters in past primary contests."
Exit polls reveal that the % of 65 and older constitutes 22% of the total democratic voters, while the 18-39 constitutes 35% (couldn't find 18-34 data.). I'm in the process of doing some rough calculation to do the weighting, but a statistician (if there is one around here) would definitely do a better job. I'm a simple engineer.
A new NY poll by Emerson
showing Clinton 48 ahead in NY. You might want to work hard on getting students to vote, even if I believe that this poll is way off.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/1280150245
Statistics: A question
Is there any statistics on the percentage of university students that vote for Bernie? I couldn't find anything on this subject on the web.
Please tell us
about voters turnout that you notice in your respective states that are voting today. Is voters turnout seems like what it was in MI? We only won in MI because of high voter turnout.
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Member since: Fri Feb 26, 2016, 11:32 PMNumber of posts: 73
