If you have been following WH2020 polling you’ll be aware that the numbers are still very much with Biden at both a national and a state level.

But this is not being reflected in the current betting. What is the biggest political gambling event of all time as is shown in the Smarkets chart above and as can be seen the gap is closing.

https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2020/10/19/trump-making-surprise-recovery-in-the-wh2020-betting-even-though-most-pollsters-have-double-digit-biden-leads/


[link:https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/1318120755595497472/photo/1|

That is out of control.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Polling average

Trump: 46.5%
Biden: 48.0%

Projected vote share for Nov. 3

Trump: 49.5%
Biden: 49.7%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/georgia/

On the front it says, “President Trump needs you to act now.”

At the back it has a picture of Trump and states: “I will be an absentee voter. We have a lot of absentee voters. It works, so we are in favor of absentee.”

Are there two president Trumps? I ask, because the president Trump I have seen has been claiming that mail-in voting is rife with fraud and is the Democrats' way of rigging the election. But here he is encouraging people to vote by mail!

See graphic in reply to Trump post.


[link:https://twitter.com/509ShawnG/status/1313661738248663040/photo/1|

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