Ghost DogGhost Dog's Journal
... Any future insurgency will benefit from Ukraines geography. The country is bordered by four NATO states: Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Slovakia. Belarus, a Russian ally, is itself bordered by Poland on the west and another NATO memberLithuaniaon the north. These long borders offer the United States and NATO an enduring way to support Ukrainian resistance and a long-term insurgency and to stoke unrest in Belarus should the United States and its allies choose to covertly aid opposition to Lukashenkos regime...
... As the United States learned in Vietnam and Afghanistan, an insurgency that has reliable supply lines, ample reserves of fighters, and sanctuary over the border can sustain itself indefinitely, sap an occupying armys will to fight, and exhaust political support for the occupation at home. Russia would also have to think twice before trying to chase insurgents across the border into Poland, for instance, since such actions could trigger war with NATO...
That is a decision for the National Security Council to take but it is something that the Prime Minister has asked us in the Ministry of Defence to look at and plan for, he told Sky News...
Little chance of peace for Ukraine residents in that direction, then...
Assuming you would want to avoid such a war going nuclear, how do you think that could be avoided?
Source: BulgarianMilitary. com
MOSCOW, ($1=88.55 Russian Rubles) The Russian military is using high-precision weapons against Ukraines military infrastructure, learned BulgarianMilitary.com, citing the Russian Defense Ministry. Military infrastructure, air defense facilities, military airports, aviation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine have been neutralized with high-precision weapons, the agency said.
The statement said the Russian armed forces did not launch missile, air, or artillery strikes on Ukrainian cities. Nothing threatens the civilian population, the Russian Defense Ministry said...
Read more: https://bulgarianmilitary.com/2022/02/24/russia-ukrainian-air-defense-disabled-by-high-precision-weapons/
Underneath the Ministry of Defence on Whitehall sits Pindar, a several storeys deep complex that will house the UKs government and military leaders in the event of a nuclear strike. There is also a command-and-control complex at RAF Corsham in Wiltshire as well as several others. They probably need a bit of a dust off but they would be viable. I dont have any insider information but there are probably a lot of civil servants running around at the moment making preparations, says Mr de Bretton-Gordon...
... For civilians, however, it is likely that we will have to fend for ourselves. In the 1970s and 1980s the government devised a public information campaign called Protect and Survive, whose nadir was a chilling pamphlet delivered to all households detailing how to prepare for armageddon: from the construction of a fall out shelter to how you would be informed of a nuclear attack to what to do with any dead bodies (wrap them in polythene)...
... Questions to Mr. Johnson about this?
... The Russian president is a rational man with his own analysis of recent European history. Coming from a former Communist, his blaming of Lenin for giving excessive scope to local nationalism in drawing up the Soviet constitution is remarkable. Similarly, his criticism of the way national elites destroyed the Soviet Union in its final years is sharp. Does he want to turn the clock back? People often quote his statement the demise of the Soviet Union was the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the century. But it bears pointing out that he enlarged on it later, saying: Anyone who doesnt regret the passing of the Soviet Union has no heart. Anyone who wants it restored has no brains.
It is crucially important for those who might seek to end or ameliorate this crisis to first understand his mindset. What happened this week is that Putin lost his patience, and his temper. He is furious with the Ukraine government. He feels it repeatedly rejected the Minsk aagreement, which would give the Ukrainian provinces of Donetsk and Luhansk substantial autonomy. He is angry with France and Germany, the co-signatories, and the United States, for not pressing Ukraines president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, to implement them. He is equally angry with the Americans for not taking on board Russias security concerns about Natos expansion and the deployment of offensive missiles close to Russias borders...
... Convinced that Nato will never reject Ukraines membership, Putin has now taken his own steps to block it. By invading Donetsk and Luhansk, he has created a frozen conflict, knowing the alliance cannot admit countries that dont control all their borders. Frozen conflicts already cripple Georgia and Moldova, which are also split by pro-Russian statelets. Now Ukraine joins the list. There is speculation about what will happen next but from his standpoint, it is not actually necessary to send troops further into the country. He has already taken what he needs.
Jonathan Steele is a former Moscow correspondent for the Guardian
All security and military units "must raise their surveillance and early warning of military developments around the Taiwan Strait," Tsai told a meeting of the working group on the Ukraine crisis set up by her National Security Council.
Taiwan and Ukraine are fundamentally different in terms of geostrategy, geography and international supply chains, she added, in details of the meeting provided by her office.
"But in the face of foreign forces intending to manipulate the situation in Ukraine and affect the morale of Taiwanese society, all government units must strengthen the prevention of cognitive warfare launched by foreign forces and local collaborators," it cited Tsai as saying...
Source: Australian Foreign Ministry
... In consultation with our partners, the Australian Government assesses that the GRU was responsible for these distributed denial of service (DDoS) attacks...
... The global community must be prepared to shine a light on malicious cyber activity and hold the actors responsible to account..
Read more: https://www.foreignminister.gov.au/minister/marise-payne/media-release/attribution-russia-malicious-cyber-activity-against-ukraine
Would it be too much to ask to see the evidence (indeed, shine a light) on which this assessment is based? These were not sensitive secure systems, these were website servers that suffered the type of DDoS attack just about any competent hacker could pull off, without leaving a trace, as far as I understand these things... So these purported GRU guys must be rather incompetent, as well as limited in maliciousness and scope.
Source: Voice of America
February 15, 2022 12:08 PM
Diplomacy has reached a fever pitch between NATO allies and President Vladimir Putin, with the White House offering the Russian leader two choices: an invasion of Ukraine, with devastating consequences; or a negotiated peace, with what Putin sees as humiliating concessions....
Read more: https://www.voanews.com/a/russia-ukraine-tensions-hit-fever-pitch/6442696.html
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About Ghost DogA Brit many years in Spain, Catalunya, Baleares, Canarias. Cooperative member. Geography. Ecology. Cartography. Software. Sound Recording. Music Production. Languages & Literature. History.
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