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lees1975
lees1975's Journal
lees1975's Journal
May 10, 2024
From any conventional political perspective, the 2024 election should be in the bag, tied up and already delivered at the feet of President Joe Biden, along with Democratic party majorities in both houses of Congress. At this point, I don't really trust the polling data. What used to be matter of course in that business has been missing its mark in multiple primary elections, special elections and, with 40 some odd polling sources, with a vastly different way of measuring voter intent and factoring in variables, and probably a good dose of Russian interference, I'm not really sure of exactly where things stand. The media is content to declare this a close race, neck and neck, because that sells.
President Biden could not have picked a better candidate for the opposition if he'd been told he could choose the most beatable, unelectable, despicable Republican in the party. The man is under more than 80 federal and state indictments for multiple felonies of which a plethora of evidence proving his guilt has already been exposed and publicized. He's served one term in office that was, from every political, economic and social perspective, an unmitigated disaster. His inept handling of everything that came his way, and his bungling of a national crisis that had the potential to be the one thing that actually saved him, was the worst demonstration of political incompetence we've seen in the White House, including the Presidencies of John Tyler and James Buchanan.
Not only that, but the presumptive Republican nominee is a moral degenerate who cheered on an insurrection against the United States Constitution and government that he himself instigated and launched with a speech in front of the White House. He has denied and turned his back on the religious beliefs of his most loyal supporters and insulted their leaders by refusing to acknowledge any kind of Christian conversion experience. He's twice divorced, re-marrying the women with whom he had affairs leading to the breakup of his marriages, has openly degraded women by identifying them as nothing more than sex objects and on top of all of it, bribed his staff to pay off a porn star he bedded in order to keep that information from the voters.
And along comes David Axelrod, seeming to throw cold water on the whole campaign.
Sometimes, I wonder if, since the party's record of getting turnout when it needs it isn't all that great, the leadership doesn't do things like this to scare people into voting. The media has trumpeted Biden's low job approval record since the end of his first year in office. If they are as liberal as the right seems to think, then the only reason I can think of that would justify the continued pounding on that, which encouraged the Trump cult, is to make sure Democrats defy the odds and turn out in large numbers to prevent disaster.
Why isn't this election appearing like the shoo-in for Biden that it should be?
https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/05/here-we-go-again-when-will-democrats.htmlFrom any conventional political perspective, the 2024 election should be in the bag, tied up and already delivered at the feet of President Joe Biden, along with Democratic party majorities in both houses of Congress. At this point, I don't really trust the polling data. What used to be matter of course in that business has been missing its mark in multiple primary elections, special elections and, with 40 some odd polling sources, with a vastly different way of measuring voter intent and factoring in variables, and probably a good dose of Russian interference, I'm not really sure of exactly where things stand. The media is content to declare this a close race, neck and neck, because that sells.
President Biden could not have picked a better candidate for the opposition if he'd been told he could choose the most beatable, unelectable, despicable Republican in the party. The man is under more than 80 federal and state indictments for multiple felonies of which a plethora of evidence proving his guilt has already been exposed and publicized. He's served one term in office that was, from every political, economic and social perspective, an unmitigated disaster. His inept handling of everything that came his way, and his bungling of a national crisis that had the potential to be the one thing that actually saved him, was the worst demonstration of political incompetence we've seen in the White House, including the Presidencies of John Tyler and James Buchanan.
Not only that, but the presumptive Republican nominee is a moral degenerate who cheered on an insurrection against the United States Constitution and government that he himself instigated and launched with a speech in front of the White House. He has denied and turned his back on the religious beliefs of his most loyal supporters and insulted their leaders by refusing to acknowledge any kind of Christian conversion experience. He's twice divorced, re-marrying the women with whom he had affairs leading to the breakup of his marriages, has openly degraded women by identifying them as nothing more than sex objects and on top of all of it, bribed his staff to pay off a porn star he bedded in order to keep that information from the voters.
And along comes David Axelrod, seeming to throw cold water on the whole campaign.
Sometimes, I wonder if, since the party's record of getting turnout when it needs it isn't all that great, the leadership doesn't do things like this to scare people into voting. The media has trumpeted Biden's low job approval record since the end of his first year in office. If they are as liberal as the right seems to think, then the only reason I can think of that would justify the continued pounding on that, which encouraged the Trump cult, is to make sure Democrats defy the odds and turn out in large numbers to prevent disaster.
May 10, 2024
President Biden could not have picked a better candidate for the opposition if he'd been told he could choose the most beatable, unelectable, despicable Republican in the party. The man is under more than 80 federal and state indictments for multiple felonies of which a plethora of evidence proving his guilt has already been exposed and publicized. He's served one term in office that was, from every political, economic and social perspective, an unmitigated disaster. His inept handling of everything that came his way, and his bungling of a national crisis that had the potential to be the one thing that actually saved him, was the worst demonstration of political incompetence we've seen in the White House, including the Presidencies of John Tyler and James Buchanan.
Not only that, but the presumptive Republican nominee is a moral degenerate who cheered on an insurrection against the United States Constitution and government that he himself instigated and launched with a speech in front of the White House. He has denied and turned his back on the religious beliefs of his most loyal supporters and insulted their leaders by refusing to acknowledge any kind of Christian conversion experience. He's twice divorced, re-marrying the women with whom he had affairs leading to the breakup of his marriages, has openly degraded women by identifying them as nothing more than sex objects and on top of all of it, bribed his staff to pay off a porn star he bedded in order to keep that information from the voters.
So this should be a shoo-in, right? So why isn't it? Or, why is it not appearing that way?
Here we go again: When will Democrats get their act together and win this election?
https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/05/here-we-go-again-when-will-democrats.htmlPresident Biden could not have picked a better candidate for the opposition if he'd been told he could choose the most beatable, unelectable, despicable Republican in the party. The man is under more than 80 federal and state indictments for multiple felonies of which a plethora of evidence proving his guilt has already been exposed and publicized. He's served one term in office that was, from every political, economic and social perspective, an unmitigated disaster. His inept handling of everything that came his way, and his bungling of a national crisis that had the potential to be the one thing that actually saved him, was the worst demonstration of political incompetence we've seen in the White House, including the Presidencies of John Tyler and James Buchanan.
Not only that, but the presumptive Republican nominee is a moral degenerate who cheered on an insurrection against the United States Constitution and government that he himself instigated and launched with a speech in front of the White House. He has denied and turned his back on the religious beliefs of his most loyal supporters and insulted their leaders by refusing to acknowledge any kind of Christian conversion experience. He's twice divorced, re-marrying the women with whom he had affairs leading to the breakup of his marriages, has openly degraded women by identifying them as nothing more than sex objects and on top of all of it, bribed his staff to pay off a porn star he bedded in order to keep that information from the voters.
So this should be a shoo-in, right? So why isn't it? Or, why is it not appearing that way?
May 9, 2024
You'd expect that there would be a few high profile Evangelical "leaders" who would be disturbed enough by the vulgar, horrific scandal involving a totally unrepentant former Republican (party of family values, remember?) President and a pornographic film star having an affair during and immediately following the pregnancy of the former President's wife with their youngest son, to, at the very least, try some kind of pathetic excuse or attempt to excuse the behavior. They can't accuse the media of making this up, because Trump himself has revealed the affair, bragged about it and declared that he doesn't have to ask forgiveness for it because he did nothing wrong.
But there's been nothing. We can hear crickets chirping in the background, when the cheers and accolades for this same former President are not pouring forth from his Evangelical sycophants and followers. They've thrown Jesus under the bus, given their loyalty to a corrupt, adulterous politician and sold their soul for the proverbial bowl of soup, to use a Biblical expression.
It's not judgmental to conclude that the continuing support of Trump, even as a secular politician, by people who claim to believe in the Christian gospel because they accept the Bible as the inerrant, infallible written word of God, is a hypocritical denial of the truth of the Christian gospel. It doesn't matter that his leadership is secular, not spiritual. Supporting Trump is raising up a leader over one's own nation who has openly denied the conviction of the Spirit and has put himself at odds with Jesus and the Christian gospel as a result of it.
Trump's hush-money trial is another major embarassment for Evangelical supporters
https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/05/trumps-hush-money-trial-is-disaster-for.htmlYou'd expect that there would be a few high profile Evangelical "leaders" who would be disturbed enough by the vulgar, horrific scandal involving a totally unrepentant former Republican (party of family values, remember?) President and a pornographic film star having an affair during and immediately following the pregnancy of the former President's wife with their youngest son, to, at the very least, try some kind of pathetic excuse or attempt to excuse the behavior. They can't accuse the media of making this up, because Trump himself has revealed the affair, bragged about it and declared that he doesn't have to ask forgiveness for it because he did nothing wrong.
But there's been nothing. We can hear crickets chirping in the background, when the cheers and accolades for this same former President are not pouring forth from his Evangelical sycophants and followers. They've thrown Jesus under the bus, given their loyalty to a corrupt, adulterous politician and sold their soul for the proverbial bowl of soup, to use a Biblical expression.
It's not judgmental to conclude that the continuing support of Trump, even as a secular politician, by people who claim to believe in the Christian gospel because they accept the Bible as the inerrant, infallible written word of God, is a hypocritical denial of the truth of the Christian gospel. It doesn't matter that his leadership is secular, not spiritual. Supporting Trump is raising up a leader over one's own nation who has openly denied the conviction of the Spirit and has put himself at odds with Jesus and the Christian gospel as a result of it.
May 9, 2024
There have been arrests, clashes with school security and law enforcement, and some ugly racial incidents, that have marred the image of "peaceful protests." In some cases, pro-Israeli protesters are present, and that increases the possibility of violent clashes. The protests at Columbia, and at UCLA, which got a lot of media attention because they are in New York and Los Angeles, cities that are the focus of negative attention from conservative media sources, were criticized for damage to the building that was occupied, and for a massive amount of trash that was left behind. Reports of some protesters expecting food to be delivered to them helps create an image of the protest that distracts from its intentions.
The far right wing media is just looking for ways to discredit the protesters as a bunch of violent, spoiled liberal children, and to split the Democratic party on this particular issue. That's laughable in light of their defense of the Capitol building's attackers on January 6th, but it's not an excuse to be careless. A lot of the rhetoric starts out with accusations of violence and racism against protesters, so it is vitally important for protests to defy those accusations by keeping order and not letting their protests get to the point where they can be accused of violence or racism.
There have been multiple accusations of anti-Semitism associated with the protests. That comes largely from the influence of right wing Evangelicals who focus on a gross misinterpretation and misapplication of Genesis 12:3 by claiming that anyone who utters a critical word against the modern state of Israel, regardless of what they are doing, is subject to being cursed by God. Criticizing and protesting against a war being carried on by the modern state of Israel does not meet the definition of the term "curse" in Hebrew, written in Genesis, nor do those verses apply at all in any context to the modern political state known as Israel.
It's not hypocritical, or anti-Semitic, to protest against this particular war and the excessive civilian casualties it is producing, as opposed to not protesting the Sudan civil war that is also responsible for a large number of civilian deaths, because those who hear and see these protests have a lot more influence over the Israeli-Hamas war than they do over the others. It's not difficult for a news source looking to prove their point to find anti-Semitic protesters, including radical Muslims for whom the destruction of the Israeli state is a political and religious goal. But it's less difficult to find Islamophobic, racist, hateful agitators and bigots among the far right wing protesters who are taking Israel's side. I'm sure that those who take this seriously wouldn't appreciate being classified or characterized that way.
Some loss of credibility for protesters against Israel's war on Hamas doesn't mean they're all anti-Semitic
https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/05/drawing-line-where-protests-against.htmlThere have been arrests, clashes with school security and law enforcement, and some ugly racial incidents, that have marred the image of "peaceful protests." In some cases, pro-Israeli protesters are present, and that increases the possibility of violent clashes. The protests at Columbia, and at UCLA, which got a lot of media attention because they are in New York and Los Angeles, cities that are the focus of negative attention from conservative media sources, were criticized for damage to the building that was occupied, and for a massive amount of trash that was left behind. Reports of some protesters expecting food to be delivered to them helps create an image of the protest that distracts from its intentions.
The far right wing media is just looking for ways to discredit the protesters as a bunch of violent, spoiled liberal children, and to split the Democratic party on this particular issue. That's laughable in light of their defense of the Capitol building's attackers on January 6th, but it's not an excuse to be careless. A lot of the rhetoric starts out with accusations of violence and racism against protesters, so it is vitally important for protests to defy those accusations by keeping order and not letting their protests get to the point where they can be accused of violence or racism.
There have been multiple accusations of anti-Semitism associated with the protests. That comes largely from the influence of right wing Evangelicals who focus on a gross misinterpretation and misapplication of Genesis 12:3 by claiming that anyone who utters a critical word against the modern state of Israel, regardless of what they are doing, is subject to being cursed by God. Criticizing and protesting against a war being carried on by the modern state of Israel does not meet the definition of the term "curse" in Hebrew, written in Genesis, nor do those verses apply at all in any context to the modern political state known as Israel.
It's not hypocritical, or anti-Semitic, to protest against this particular war and the excessive civilian casualties it is producing, as opposed to not protesting the Sudan civil war that is also responsible for a large number of civilian deaths, because those who hear and see these protests have a lot more influence over the Israeli-Hamas war than they do over the others. It's not difficult for a news source looking to prove their point to find anti-Semitic protesters, including radical Muslims for whom the destruction of the Israeli state is a political and religious goal. But it's less difficult to find Islamophobic, racist, hateful agitators and bigots among the far right wing protesters who are taking Israel's side. I'm sure that those who take this seriously wouldn't appreciate being classified or characterized that way.
May 6, 2024
The addition of perspectives on a foreign war, the conflict between Israel and Gaza, have added a whole new element of concern to the potential loss of freedom we are facing. The linked article from Baptist News Global, reporting on the exchange, in a congressional hearing, between Representative Rick Allen, a Georgia Republican, whose spewed out ignorance should come as no surprise, and Columbia University President Dr. Minouche Shafik, is an egregious example of exactly what we may be facing if the ignorance and misinterpretation of the Bible that leads to Christian nationalism is ever elevated to the point where it has the favor of the political power of the Presidency.
Though my purpose in writing here is to point out to those Christians who do read this blog, and who do, from time to time, express doubts and reservations about conservative, white Evangelical support for a politician whose lifestyle exhibits the exact opposite of the characteristics of Evangelical Christian theology and practice, it is also to affirm, for those Americans who are either outside the church altogether, or who are in Christian traditions that aren't going down the heretical path created by the blending of far right wing politics with fundamentalist, conservative, Evangelicalism, that the latter is a false representation of Christian faith and practice. That includes the idea that the founding fathers intended for the United States to be a Christian nation in the same way Israel was a theocracy in the Old Testament, and that the modern state of Israel is a restoration of that theocracy, which justifies what it is doing to Gaza.
There's also the idea, as Representative Allen asserts, that because of modern Israel's special status, the United States is motivated to protect Israel, and to provide it with all the weaponry it needs to blow Gaza to smithereens and scatter its civilian population because God will withdraw his blessing from the United States if it doesn't support Israel. Even though that completely and totally contradicts just about everything Jesus taught as his gospel, which is all the substance of what the United States should be, when it comes to Israel, no doctrine or theology applies to them. They are, according to some conservative Christian eschatology, part of another "dispensation" which will bring them salvation by a different means than the Christian church teaches applies to the rest of us.
Christian nationalism and its false Biblical narrative becoming a factor in Israeli-Hamas conflict
https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/05/dragging-christian-nationalist-views.htmlThe addition of perspectives on a foreign war, the conflict between Israel and Gaza, have added a whole new element of concern to the potential loss of freedom we are facing. The linked article from Baptist News Global, reporting on the exchange, in a congressional hearing, between Representative Rick Allen, a Georgia Republican, whose spewed out ignorance should come as no surprise, and Columbia University President Dr. Minouche Shafik, is an egregious example of exactly what we may be facing if the ignorance and misinterpretation of the Bible that leads to Christian nationalism is ever elevated to the point where it has the favor of the political power of the Presidency.
Though my purpose in writing here is to point out to those Christians who do read this blog, and who do, from time to time, express doubts and reservations about conservative, white Evangelical support for a politician whose lifestyle exhibits the exact opposite of the characteristics of Evangelical Christian theology and practice, it is also to affirm, for those Americans who are either outside the church altogether, or who are in Christian traditions that aren't going down the heretical path created by the blending of far right wing politics with fundamentalist, conservative, Evangelicalism, that the latter is a false representation of Christian faith and practice. That includes the idea that the founding fathers intended for the United States to be a Christian nation in the same way Israel was a theocracy in the Old Testament, and that the modern state of Israel is a restoration of that theocracy, which justifies what it is doing to Gaza.
There's also the idea, as Representative Allen asserts, that because of modern Israel's special status, the United States is motivated to protect Israel, and to provide it with all the weaponry it needs to blow Gaza to smithereens and scatter its civilian population because God will withdraw his blessing from the United States if it doesn't support Israel. Even though that completely and totally contradicts just about everything Jesus taught as his gospel, which is all the substance of what the United States should be, when it comes to Israel, no doctrine or theology applies to them. They are, according to some conservative Christian eschatology, part of another "dispensation" which will bring them salvation by a different means than the Christian church teaches applies to the rest of us.
May 6, 2024
What happens with all of the work Jack Smith has done, the evidence gathered, the cases he has made?
It must be frustrating to realize that all your work has been for nothing, as it becomes apparent that Trump is not going to face justice for January 6th or in the documents scandal.
May 2, 2024
It was the major world powers, primarily the UK and US, who opened the door to the influx of Jewish immigration into Palestine following the Second World War and the aftermath of the Holocaust, and it has been the United States who has taken over the role of the pre-war British Empire in terms of influencing world politics. So the first question is whether the United States, who is the chief financial supporter of Israel, has the ability to pressure the Israeli government into taking the initiative to make peace and making the sacrifices required to achieve it. There is no question that the United States has the power to make this happen, but with our political situation being what it is at the moment, the question is whether our politicians will do it.
We've facilitated Middle Eastern peace between Israel and its neighbors before. President Jimmy Carter brokered the biggest peace deal to date when he got Israel and Egypt to the negotiating table at
Camp David and facilitated that peace deal, which still holds. It will depend on the leadership of the Democratic party to make this happen, since the GOP does not recognize the legitimacy of any Palestinian claim or sovereignty.
So, to those of you protesting Israel's destruction of Gaza, keep that in mind when the November election rolls around. If you really are interested in the people of Gaza, and in pressuring the US to put a stop to the destructive bombing and killing, staying home because Biden hasn't jumped to your command or voting for Trump out of protest will definitely affect the ability of the US to pressure Israel into making peace. It will lead to the complete destruction of Gaza and the loss of any hope for the Palestinian people in Gaza or the West Bank.
It's not anti-Semitic to protest against Israel's attack on Gaza. At this point, six months since the brutal attack on Israel, and the murder of over a thousand Israelis that resulted, Hamas has not surrendered, been captured, or been eliminated as an opponent to an independent and sovereign state of Israel. It's becoming pretty clear that's not going to happen. The result of the war has been the murder of over 30,000 civilians, a small percentage of whom were military combatants or terrorists, the majority of whom were innocent civilians who happened to get in the way of the fighting and bombing. Being opposed to that, to the point of protesting against it, doesn't constitute a denial of the right of Israel to exist.
The complicated realities of peace in the Israel-Hamas war that protesters need to realize.
https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/05/peace-in-israel-is-elusive-it-defies.htmlIt was the major world powers, primarily the UK and US, who opened the door to the influx of Jewish immigration into Palestine following the Second World War and the aftermath of the Holocaust, and it has been the United States who has taken over the role of the pre-war British Empire in terms of influencing world politics. So the first question is whether the United States, who is the chief financial supporter of Israel, has the ability to pressure the Israeli government into taking the initiative to make peace and making the sacrifices required to achieve it. There is no question that the United States has the power to make this happen, but with our political situation being what it is at the moment, the question is whether our politicians will do it.
We've facilitated Middle Eastern peace between Israel and its neighbors before. President Jimmy Carter brokered the biggest peace deal to date when he got Israel and Egypt to the negotiating table at
Camp David and facilitated that peace deal, which still holds. It will depend on the leadership of the Democratic party to make this happen, since the GOP does not recognize the legitimacy of any Palestinian claim or sovereignty.
So, to those of you protesting Israel's destruction of Gaza, keep that in mind when the November election rolls around. If you really are interested in the people of Gaza, and in pressuring the US to put a stop to the destructive bombing and killing, staying home because Biden hasn't jumped to your command or voting for Trump out of protest will definitely affect the ability of the US to pressure Israel into making peace. It will lead to the complete destruction of Gaza and the loss of any hope for the Palestinian people in Gaza or the West Bank.
It's not anti-Semitic to protest against Israel's attack on Gaza. At this point, six months since the brutal attack on Israel, and the murder of over a thousand Israelis that resulted, Hamas has not surrendered, been captured, or been eliminated as an opponent to an independent and sovereign state of Israel. It's becoming pretty clear that's not going to happen. The result of the war has been the murder of over 30,000 civilians, a small percentage of whom were military combatants or terrorists, the majority of whom were innocent civilians who happened to get in the way of the fighting and bombing. Being opposed to that, to the point of protesting against it, doesn't constitute a denial of the right of Israel to exist.
May 1, 2024
It's kind of up in the air exactly what this repeal will do. The best explanation, in understandable terms, is that when the state supreme court ruled that this 1864 law was still enforceable following the Dobbs decision, that nullified a more recent law which forbids abortion beyond the 15th week of pregnancy. So repealing this law, in effect, will leave Arizona without a law restricting abortions once the legislature adjourns from its current session, a few months from now.
The Republicans have a very narrow majority in the Arizona legislature, and it is quite possible that this particular issue will turn it blue the next time around. Voter registration and recent trends suggest that's the case. So there are some Republicans in very marginal districts in the bigger counties who see a pro-choice position as a means of saving their job.
Arizona State Senate Repeals 1864 Abortion Ban
Source: Sierra Vista Herald Review, Sierra Vista, Arizona
State senators voted Wednesday to repeal the 1864 abortion law, leaving just a procedural move to send it to the governor for her anticipated signature. The 16-14 vote came after the coalition of all Democrats and two Republicans defeated various procedural motions designed to preclude final action on the measure approved a week earlier by the House on a 32-28 vote.
But even when Hobbs signs the legislation -- an aide said that is likely to come Thursday -- it still does not mean the law immediately goes away, a move that would leave only a more recent law allowing abortion until the 15th week of pregnancy. That's because the repeal, like most measures, cannot take effect until the 91st day after the Legislature finally adjourns for this year. But with key issues unresolved, including the budget and additional aid for K-12 education, there are at least several weeks before that is set to occur.
That means the law, which dates to territorial days, would still be in place when there is a final order from the Arizona Supreme Court on its April 9 order declaring the older law trumps the newer 15-week limit.
Attorney General Kris Mayes figures that the Supreme Court ruling that the old law and its ban on abortion except to save the life of the mother trumps a more recent 15 week law is set to take effect on June 27. Mayes on Wednesday asked the justices to delay the effective date of their ruling for up to an additional 90 days so she can weigh whether there is a legal reason to seek review by the U.S. Supreme Court. But there is no guarantee they will grant her request.
Read more: https://www.myheraldreview.com/news/state/state-senate-repeals-1864-abortion-ban/article_aff6dbe6-07f8-11ef-b612-e36213d9f88d.html
It's kind of up in the air exactly what this repeal will do. The best explanation, in understandable terms, is that when the state supreme court ruled that this 1864 law was still enforceable following the Dobbs decision, that nullified a more recent law which forbids abortion beyond the 15th week of pregnancy. So repealing this law, in effect, will leave Arizona without a law restricting abortions once the legislature adjourns from its current session, a few months from now.
The Republicans have a very narrow majority in the Arizona legislature, and it is quite possible that this particular issue will turn it blue the next time around. Voter registration and recent trends suggest that's the case. So there are some Republicans in very marginal districts in the bigger counties who see a pro-choice position as a means of saving their job.
April 30, 2024
The impression that we are given is of a close rerun of the 2020 election, polls shifting back and forth as the GOP makes it clear Trump will be renominated, and the Democrats go with Biden. Trumpies are planning violence at their candidates insistence that he's not being treated fairly, third party candidates and independents are being given a huge share of media time, far beyond what their support warrants, and the fact that the GOP's presumptive nominee faces 88 indictments and is now on trial, giving all kinds of fodder to the sensationalism.
But, is that a realistic perspective of what's actually happening?
---snip---
What I do think will happen is that President Biden will comfortably win the 2024 election. He'll carry all the same states he did in 2020, expanding his margins of victory in Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin and Michigan, he'll pick up North Carolina and Florida, and has a good chance of adding Ohio. He'll get a Democratic House of Representatives by a comfortable margin and he'll have a senate in which he won't have to worry about the whims and whines of Joe Manchin or Kristen Sinema.
I don't think that's just wishful thinking. I think that's a fairly accurate analysis, based on doing some digging, applying logic and listening to the few independent media sources who seem to be on the ball when it comes to finding out what is really happening. It seems, by observation, that Trump has lost more than he can afford to lose from his party, whether their current, out of touch leadership is willing to admit that or not. He already lost independent voters, and isn't doing anything to get them back. His campaign of retribution and vengeance is even turning off some notable conservative, Evangelical support. He has to increase his base to win, not decrease it, and with the electoral college relic still a factor, he has no place to go to make things any different than they were in 2020.
Ignoring the mainstream media's sensational hype of the 2024 election, things are not nearly so bad as you think.
https://signalpress.blogspot.com/2024/04/can-medias-hype-of-2024-election-be.htmlThe impression that we are given is of a close rerun of the 2020 election, polls shifting back and forth as the GOP makes it clear Trump will be renominated, and the Democrats go with Biden. Trumpies are planning violence at their candidates insistence that he's not being treated fairly, third party candidates and independents are being given a huge share of media time, far beyond what their support warrants, and the fact that the GOP's presumptive nominee faces 88 indictments and is now on trial, giving all kinds of fodder to the sensationalism.
But, is that a realistic perspective of what's actually happening?
---snip---
What I do think will happen is that President Biden will comfortably win the 2024 election. He'll carry all the same states he did in 2020, expanding his margins of victory in Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin and Michigan, he'll pick up North Carolina and Florida, and has a good chance of adding Ohio. He'll get a Democratic House of Representatives by a comfortable margin and he'll have a senate in which he won't have to worry about the whims and whines of Joe Manchin or Kristen Sinema.
I don't think that's just wishful thinking. I think that's a fairly accurate analysis, based on doing some digging, applying logic and listening to the few independent media sources who seem to be on the ball when it comes to finding out what is really happening. It seems, by observation, that Trump has lost more than he can afford to lose from his party, whether their current, out of touch leadership is willing to admit that or not. He already lost independent voters, and isn't doing anything to get them back. His campaign of retribution and vengeance is even turning off some notable conservative, Evangelical support. He has to increase his base to win, not decrease it, and with the electoral college relic still a factor, he has no place to go to make things any different than they were in 2020.
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Gender: MaleHometown: Tucson, Arizona
Current location: Chicago, Illinois
Member since: Wed Dec 25, 2019, 01:02 AM
Number of posts: 3,913