brooklynite
brooklynite's JournalPerdue's Senate campaign takes down ad that appears to enlarge nose of Jewish opponent
Source: CNN
Republican Sen. David Perdue's campaign took down a Facebook ad that appeared to make Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff's nose bigger, following accusations of anti-Semitism.
The Facebook ad, showing Ossoff next to Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer, said, "Democrats are trying to buy Georgia!"
The Ossoff campaign noted that both he and Schumer are Jewish.
"Sitting U.S. Senator David Perdue's digital attack ad distorted my face to enlarge and extend my nose. I'm Jewish. This is the oldest, most obvious, least original anti-Semitic trope in history," said Ossoff.
Read more: https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/28/politics/david-perdue-jon-ossoff-takes-down-ad/index.html
Confidence Interval: Democrats Could Win 60 Seats In The Senate (Video)
FiveThirtyEightWelcome to another episode of Confidence Interval, where we make a persuasive case for a hot take … and then reveal how confident we really feel about the idea. This time, elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich ponders whether the Democrats can pick up 13 seats in the U.S. Senate this November to have a 60-seat filibuster-proof majority.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/confidence-interval-democrats-could-win-60-seats-in-the-senate/
In the Washington BLM protests, there was video of peacful protesters grabbing violent ones...
...and handing them over to the police. Is that happening in Portland?
Voters Are Starting To Doubt Trump's Reelection Chances
FiveThirtyEightFor months now, President Trump has trailed Joe Biden in the polls. First, it was only a 5- or 6-percentage-point gap, but since the middle of June, that margin has widened to anywhere from 8 to 9 points, according to FiveThirtyEight’s national polling average.
But until very recently, voters didn’t seem all that convinced that Biden could win. In poll after poll, comparatively more voters said they thought Trump would win reelection in November. Now, though, that view may be shifting.
Over the past two and a half months, the share of voters who said they expect Trump to win has fallen from about 45 percent to around 40 percent in polling by The Economist/YouGov, as the chart below shows, while Biden’s share has slowly ticked up to where Trump’s numbers are. (Roughly a fifth of respondents still say they’re “not sure.”)
Trump’s decline may not seem that dramatic — and it’s not; it’s only a few points lower — but it’s notable because prior to June, he had trailed on this question only once since The Economist/YouGov first asked it in December.
More states, others added to New York coronavirus quarantine list
Source: Post-Standard
The new states on the list are Illinois, Kentucky and Minnesota. The list now includes a total of 34 states, plus Puerto Rico and Washington, D.C.
Minnesota was just removed from the list last week, but is now back on.
New York first began requiring quarantines in June for travelers from states where the coronavirus is still spreading rapidly. Cuomo has said repeatedly he is concerned that rising cases in other parts of the country could eventually lead to a resurgence of the pandemic in New York.
The full quarantine list now includes: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, North Carolina, New Mexico, Nevada, Ohio, Oklahoma, Puerto Rico, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, Washington, D.C. and Wisconsin.
Read more: https://www.syracuse.com/coronavirus/2020/07/more-states-others-added-to-new-york-coronavirus-quarantine-list.html
JUST made it out in time; we emptied out my wife's DC apartment on Sunday.
Maya Wiley Is Leaving MSNBC to Weigh Run for N.Y.C. Mayor
Source: New York Times
Maya D. Wiley, a former top counsel for Mayor Bill de Blasio, is leaving her role as a contributor on MSNBC and NBC News to explore a run for mayor of New York City, an official at MSNBC confirmed on Tuesday.
Ms. Wiley, a Black former chairwoman of the city’s police oversight agency, could enter a mayor’s race that has been reshaped by recent Black Lives Matter protests and the coronavirus pandemic.
If she were to win, she would be the first woman to become mayor of New York City.
Ms. Wiley resigned in 2017 after serving roughly a year as chairwoman of the agency, the Civilian Complaint Review Board. She has worked as a professor at The New School and regularly appeared on MSNBC, grabbing the attention of its left-leaning viewership, an important demographic in a Democratic primary in New York.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/28/nyregion/maya-wiley-mayor-nyc.html
Lincoln Project campaign ad: "Memories"
Trump Now Says He'll Accept Nomination In North Carolina
Source: Poiitical Wire
President Trump told WRAL that he will accept the Republican nomination in North Carolina as initially planned, marking a reversal after he attempted to move portions of the party’s convention out of the state.
Said Trump: “I’ll be in North Carolina, and that’s a very big deal because we have a lot of the delegates there and that’ll be a nomination process. And that’s essentially where the nomination, where it’s formalized. And I’m really honored to do it in North Carolina.
Read more: https://politicalwire.com/2020/07/28/trump-now-says-hell-accept-nomination-in-north-carolina/
How much did Jacksonville have to waste planning for Trump's ego-driver coronation?
Three Senate candidates you should NOT support financially...and three that you should
In 2004, I became involved in financing Democratic Senate candidates...five of them (four lost). The next cycle was 12 (plus House candidates). The next was…..
Today I give a lot of money to candidates for the House, Senate, State officials, Party Committees, etc. and as a result I get endless requests for support. I’ve met with or talked personally to 11 Senate candidates as well as DSCC Chair Cortez-Masto, and probably 50 House candidates and incumbents. To manage all these requests, I’ve built a model over the years that crunches a ranch of data elements to provide guidance on which race make sense to support...and which don’t.
Given the expansive battlefield we need to fight on (winning the Presidency, holding the House, picking up the Senate AND not forgetting about Statehouse and State Legislative contests, it’s critical to make informed decisions about where to put money (if you want to VOLUNTEER for any Democrat, be my guest). Here’s my current recommendation of what you should and should not do in the Senate.
Don’t Give Money to:
Let’s be honest: you hate Mitch McConnell. You want to get rid of Mitch McConnell. Amy McGrath iss an appealing combat veteran running against Mitch McConnell. Why not support her?
Because, so far she has raised $47.2 M. More than McConnell. More, in fact than any other Senate candidate. She currently has $16.2 M on hand. She doesn’t need more money; she needs an electorate that’s willing to take their displeasure with McConnell and vote against him. And to be blunt, they show no sign of doing so. He was first elected 36 years ago. He has political clout, the ability to bring home goodies for his State and a substantial war chest of his own. The way you’ll get rid of him is not defeating him at the ballot box, its by taking away his Senate majority. And there are Senate candidates with much more achievable opportunities to win.
(note: I know Mark; I met him from when I ended up at the private swearing in ceremony for Gabby Giffords. It’s a long story...)
In some ways, this is the reverse situation to Amy McGrath. Mark will be a great Senator and we’d love to get rid of McSally, who’s already lost a Senate race (to Kyrsten Sinema). The reason not to give to Kelly at this point is, quite honestly, that he doesn’t need the help. As of June 30, he had $23 M in the bank, and (with one outlier) has led in every poll this year. Cook, Sabato and Gonzales have all rated this as LEAN D and most analysts are already assuming this race can be banked in favor of the Democrats.
Look, I know that incumbents shouldn’t automatically expect to be nominated and and everyone has a right to run for office and all that. But so far, Kennedy and Markey have raised $17 M, enough to fully fund 2-3 competitive House races for the privilege of retaining a Democratic Senate seat in an absolutely safe Blue State. You could light the money you planned to give on fire and have just as much effect on our political future.
DO Give Money to:
One of the things my model values is synergy: supporting a candidate who’s voters will also turn out for someone up- or down-ticket. With the continued blueing of North Carolina, it’s in reach for Joe Biden (the latest RCP average gives him a +3 average). Turning out votes for Cunningham will help both Biden and Governor Roy Cooper, as well as pick up the five seats needed to control the State Assembly.
Georgia is also becoming a more competitive location for Democrats (see Stacy Abrams) and polling says this is is currently neck and neck between Trump and Biden. Jon Ossoff is currently ahead by a whisker for the Senate seat, but had to burn cash for his Primary and needs to replenish to maintain his competitiveness.
Okay, this is a bit of an irrational outlier. But two recent polls show the Senate race relatively close, as well as the House At Large race between Alyse Galvin and Don Young. And the advantage of Alaska is...it’s cheap. Only one media market and campaign costs are far lower than in other States, so your dollars go further. This one’s worth something of a longshot bet.
So, spend wisely. I’ll be back next week with some House recommendations.
Trump Spends 9-in-10 Advertising Dollars Defending States He Won
Source: Bloomberg
President Donald Trump is spending nearly all of his advertising money to keep states he won in 2016, playing a game of defense in areas a Republican incumbent should be able to count on.
More than 92% of his state-based spending in the month of July is in states he won in 2016, according to a Bloomberg analysis of television advertising data compiled by Advertising Analytics.
Joe Biden, leading in all national polls, is spending in seven key states that Trump won in 2016, too, banking on at least some of them swinging Democratic with widespread voter dissatisfaction over Trump’s handling of the coronavirus and the accompanying economic crash.
“It would be fair to say that Trump winning this time would be a bigger upset than 2016,” said Kyle Kondik, an analyst at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. “Yes, he’s the incumbent, but 2020 is not the year you’d want to be running for president as an incumbent — and that would be true whether it was Trump or someone else.”
Read more: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-07-28/trump-spends-9-in-10-advertising-dollars-defending-states-he-won?utm_source=url_link
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Name: Chris BastianGender: Male
Hometown: Brooklyn, NY
Home country: USA
Member since: 2002
Number of posts: 94,729
