clutterbox1830
clutterbox1830's JournalQQ. Is there a time table on when will NY finish their vote count for 2020 election?
I understand that most if not all election races have been called, but will NY count all the ballots or skip the count and certify it. Current estimate has NY only counted 78% percent of their ballots so far. All other states are in the 90% range of ballots counted and most are in the 99% range.
I find that it weird seeing that Biden only won NY by 14% while Clinton won it by 23%. I can tell that most of the votes remaining are from NYC. Is there a final day on when they will stop the count in that state? I couldn't find the answer through google.
Biden increase lead to 7,248 in GA
Not sure when this happen, but saw that a new batch of ballots counted.
Biden - 2,461,455
Trump - 2,454,207
+ 7,248
Miami-Dade FL. This look very suspicious!
https://twitter.com/CShaef6687/status/1324446415037386755?Trump gain 200k votes in Miami Dade compare to 2016! Something is not right.
FYI. GA still has 50k+ outstanding ballots left to count.
https://twitter.com/GaSecofState/status/1324409996235472898With counting continuing in numerous counties throughout #Georgia, as of 12:45 p.m. today there are approximately 50,401 ballots still outstanding
Trump current lead is 13,540 votes
600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona
"The Arizona Republic surveyed county recorders and estimates that 600,000 ballots remain to be counted in Arizona. A full 450,000 of those ballots are in Maricopa County (Phoenix) and break down as follows: 248,000 early ballots (which in Arizona includes both mail-in and in-person votes) that arrived on Monday or Tuesday, 160,000-180,000 mail-in ballots dropped off on Election Day and 29,000 provisional ballots. Maricopa expects to release two batches of results tonight: one at 9 p.m. Eastern and one sometime after 12:30 a.m. Eastern."
- NATHANIEL RAKICH from 538
Here’s what’s left to count in Arizona. At first glance this would seem quite bad for Trump since it’s largely mail ballots, BUT mail ballots that arrived late in the process are considerably more R by party registration than the ones that arrived earlier.
- NATE SILVER from 538
Reminder that mail-in and absentee votes are not included in the precinct total.
This is just a reminder for those who are watching tonight's results that mail-in and absentee ballots are not counted in the precinct total. So therefore you might see a state with ~100% of precincts reported for that particular state might not called for a candidate. This is probably due to a significant amount of mail-in and/or absentee ballots not tabulated. i.e. PA and AK
In addition, today's states exit polls are more meaningless this election cycle too due to the amount of early voting.
Might as well as practically call NC to Biden already
Not to sound overconfident, but with the latest NC early voting numbers, I find it really hard for Trump to win NC.
All of the Democratic counties have turned out in record numbers.
As of 11/2, WAKE county (home to Raleigh) is reporting 68.2% of all registered voters in that county have voted. This is the biggest county in NC and this total accounts for 540,006 votes before election day! This is higher turnout (in both voters and %) than the total votes made in 2016 for this county. This county went +20.6 to Clinton in 2016.
In fact, most of the other democratic counties are reporting record high turnouts in 2020.
COUNTY NAME | % of register voters who already voted | Total Votes | 2016 differential with Clinton v Trump
CHATHAM | 75.2% | 43,381 | +10.1 Clinton
WAKE | 68.2% | 540,006 | +20.6 Clinton
BUNCOMBE | 68.1% | 140,413 | +14.6 Clinton
ORANGE | 67.7% | 75,704 | +51.2 Clinton
DURHAM | 67.2% | 163,251 | +60.4 Clinton
MECKLENBURG (Charlotte) | 62.1% | 490,115 | +29.9 Clinton
GUILFORD | 61.9% | 236,483 | +30.1 Clinton
FORSYTH | 61.1% | 165,541 | +10.5 Clinton
We could suspect that these totals to go up at least by ~8% on election day. There are a number of Democratic counties that I didn't list. NC "Republican counties" are not turning out as much in comparison which is different from outer battleground states.
Unless all Republican counties can turnout above 75%, I don't see how Trump can make up this total.
Are we expecting DU to go down tomorrow?
As some of you might recall on election day in 2016, DU was hit with multiple cyberattack (I assume DDOS attacks) that day and made the site inoperable for most users. I assume DU IT team is working hard to prevent any reoccurrence, however, nothing is ever guarantee so we might expect the same old shenanigains. Be prepared if this site goes down tomorrow.
Profile Information
Member since: Thu Jul 21, 2016, 06:50 PMNumber of posts: 395
