Dr. Jack
Dr. Jack's JournalSo did Trump just cut off funding for social security and medicare?
The Republicans last week told Trump flat out no on the payroll tax cut . It had no support among Republicans in congress. That's because it defunds social security and medicare. Did they not tell him this is political suicide because I guess he is about to find out the hard way.
Black voters according to Republicans
I spend a few minutes per day checking the betting markets on the presidential race. They aren't all that great but they can be useful as a warning that some kind of massive news just happened. Biden has been slipping in a few markets over the last few days, not because of polls, which haven't moved or any kind of good news, but according to the Republicans at these places, it is because Biden is about to lose a massive amount of support from black voters. There are discussion sections at these sites and people can talk about what they are thinking and why they are betting the way that they are. And right now the Republicans are hanging all of their hopes (and money) on Black voters abandoning Biden for Trump and Kayne. Over at Predict It, Bidens odds in places where Kanye will be on the ballot have collapsed (remember this is based on Republicans betting money on their gut assumptions, not actual polls). Here is some insight into the minds of Republicans 85ish days before the election. They are in a sorry state:
Trump calls Black Lives Matters a terrorist group and tweets out "white power" but black voters won't care. In fact they will vote for him because the economy is so good for black Americans right now (?)
Kanye West is clearly a mentally ill hard core Republican working for Trump who says Rosa Parks was a fraud but black voters will also flock to him because you know....skin color
Biden says that politically Latino voters tend to have different views depending on the part of the country they live in but black voters tend to be a bit more uniform in their support. According to Republicans, Biden just lost every single black voter to Trump and Kayne after that comment. Bidens poll numbers are on the verge of collapse and the Democrats are probably going to replace him as the nominee. According to Republicans online, Bidens comments about latino and black voters is one of the most offensive and racist things any American politican has ever said.
This is the current state if the Republican Party. Less than 3 months before the election is over and they are banking on this like this. It really does give a lot of insight to just how panicked and truly out of hope Republicans are at this point. They are living in an entirely different universe from the rest of us. Pathetic but also could prove quite dangerous when Trump tells them all that he didn't lose the election but that they need to rise up to fight for him. We might be in for a dangerous and deadly Republican temper tantrum...
I got very high and looked into the future
Here is what it told me about the election
https://www.270towin.com/maps/3X62n
Biden picks Harris as VP, they win by 7.6 points, and Biden gets 368 electoral votes. The Senate ends up tied.
Or I might just be super high
Will the next incarnation of the Republican Party be led by incumbent Democrats who were booted out
The Republican party, as it is known today under Trump isn't long for this world and it's currently philosophy will likely die a swift death after this year. So when the current old guard in the Republican party disappears over the next decade and the hardcore conservatives among the boomers begin really getting up there in age, I think the moderate blue dog democrats who are getting booted in primaries by "democratic socialists" and people far to the left will move to take over the GOP.
In 5-10 years, current Republicans will be gone, the moderate and conservative Dems will become Republicans, and the democrats will have a Bernie Sanders style philosophy.
Ted Cruz looks like he has been stress eating over Texas going blue
Ted Cruz a few hours ago
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Ted Cruz a few months ago
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April 24th: Biden warns Trump will try to delay election, Trump calls Biden "conspriacy theorist"
April 24, 2020:
Joe Biden: “Mark my words, I think he is going to try to kick back the election somehow, come up with some rationale why it can’t be held,” Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, said on Thursday night in remarks at an online fundraiser.
Trump campaign: “Those are the incoherent, conspiracy theory ramblings of a lost candidate who is out of touch with reality."
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/apr/24/joe-biden-donald-trump-delay-election
I made a "morality alignment" chart for 2020 American politics
Following up from my post yesterday on the Buzzfeed quiz on people's "morality alignment", I decided to try to make a chart for 2020 American politics. Thoughts?
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What is your morality alignment?
It's a boring day, it's hot and raining right now, so Buzzfeed quizzes it is for me today. This one is the most interesting one I found so far, a good old fashioned moral alignment system test. Where do you fall? Mine is neutral good, so....thats fun I guess.
https://www.buzzfeed.com/christopherhudspeth/alignment-system-good-evil-neutral-lawful-chaotic
Here is a little chart that seems to give good comparisons from pop culture on what each one means, in case you're unfamiliar.
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McConnell has warned Trump that they will abandon him if he doesn't turn things around by Labor Day
This isn't a very new story. A few weeks ago there was an article on Vanity Fair that McConnell had warned Trump that if he can't turn things around by Labor Day that the Republicans are going to basically cut off Trump and leave him to his fate, in order to try to save the senate. Obviously in the time Trump's position has become worse, not better so it isn't looking good. However, to put into prospective how little time Trump has, if McConnell's ultimatum is true, we are only 6 weeks away from the point of no return between Trump and the Republicans. Do you know what happened 6 weeks ago already?
This
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The time between that crime against humanity and today is how much time Trump has left to turn things around. That not a lot....
Edit: Here the article BTW
[link:https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/07/trump-despondent-as-numbers-crater-loser-label-looms|
Do the attacks on Biden's health seem familiar?
I remembered that the Republicans made Hillary Clinton's health a major issue in 2016, after hearing endlessly about "dementia!". So I decided to do some digging and ended up in quite the rabbit hole. Here is a link of 18 different right wing headlines about Hillary's wide ranging, deadly diseases from 2015-2016.
[link:https://imgur.com/a/v7zDKmv#xDBVNYh|
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Member since: Fri Jan 20, 2017, 02:43 PMNumber of posts: 675
