nkpolitics1212
nkpolitics1212's Journal2018 FL US Senate Election- Is Rick Scott a stronger or weaker candidate than Bill Nelson's previous
Republican US Senate opponents.?
Bill McCollum-2000
Katherine Harris-2006
Connie Mack IV- 2012
I just made 5 dollar monthly contributions to Democratic US Senate Candidates in Tossup Races.
Sinema-AZ
Nelson-FL
Donnelly-IN
McCaskill-MO
Tester-MT
Rosen-NV
Heitkamp-ND
Brown-OH
O'Rourke-TX
Manchin-WV
2018 US Senate Election- margin of victory for Democratic candidates and Republican candidates.
Republican margin of victory from narrow to large.
TN
MS Special
TX
MS Regular
NE
UT
WY
Democratic margin of victory from narrow to large.
ND
IN
MO
NV
AZ
FL
WV
MT
OH
PA
WI
MI
MN Special
VA
NM
NJ
MN Regular
ME
WA
CT
DE
MD
MA
NY
CA
RI
VT
HI
2018 and 2020 US Senate Election prediction.
2018
AZ(OPEN-Flake-R) Tossup Democratic with McSally-R, Lean Democratic with Ward-R +1D
CA(Feinstein-D) Solid Democratic
CT(Murphy-D) Solid Democratic
DE(Carper-D) Solid Democratic
FL(Nelson-D) Tossup Democratic with Scott-R, Lean Democratic without Scott-R.
HI(Hirono-D) Solid Democratic
IN(Donnelly-D) Tossup Democratic
ME(King-I/D) Solid Independent/Democratic
MD(Cardin-D) Solid Democratic
MA(Warren-D) Solid Democratic
MI(Stabenow-D) Likely Democratic
MN(Klobuchar-D) Solid Democratic
MN(Smith-D) Likely Democratic
MS(Wicker-R) Likely Republican
MS(Hyde Smith-R) Lean Republican with Hyde Smith-R, Tossup Republican with McDaniel-R
MO(McCaskill-D) Tossup Democratic
MT(Tester-D) Lean Democratic
NE(Fischer-R) Solid Republican
NV(Heller-R) Tossup Democratic. +2D
NJ(Menendez-D) Likely Democratic
NM(Heinrich-D) Solid Democratic
NY(Gillibrand-D) Solid Democratic
ND(Heitkamp-D) Tossup Democratic
OH(Brown-D) Lean Democratic
PA(Casey-D) Likely Democratic
RI(Whitehouse-D) Solid Democratic
TN(OPEN Corker-R) Tossup Republican
TX(Cruz-R) Lean Republican
UT(OPEN Hatch-R) Solid Republican
VT(Sanders-I/D) Solid Independent/Democratic
VA(Kaine-D) Likely Democratic
WA(Cantwell-D) Solid Democratic
WV(Manchin-D) Lean Democratic
WI(Baldwin-D) Likely Democratic
WY(Barrasso-R) Solid Republican
+2D 51D 49R
2020
AL(Jones-D) Tossup Republican -1D
AK(Sullivan-R) Tossup Republican with Begich-D or Berkowitz-D, Lean Republican without.
AZ(VACANT McCain-R) Tossup Democratic 0D
AR(Cotton-R) Solid Republican
CO(Gardner-R) Lean Democratic with Hickenlooper-D, Tossup Democratic without Hickenlooper-D. +1D
DE(Coons-D) Solid Democratic
GA(Perdue-R) Lean Republican
ID(Risch-R) Solid Republican
IL(Durbin-D) Solid Democratic
IA(Ernst-R) Tossup Democratic with Vilsack-D, Lean Republican without Vilsack-D.
KS(OPEN Roberts-R) Likely Republican
KY(McConnell-R) Likely Republican
LA(Cassidy-R) Solid Republican
ME(Collins-R) Likely Republican with Collins-R, Tossup Democratic without Collins-R.
MA(Markey-D) Solid Democratic
MI(Peters-D) Likely Democratic
MN(Smith-D) Likely Democratic
MS(Hyde Smith-R) Likely Republican
MT(Daines-R) Tossup Democratic with Bullock-D, Likely Republican without Bullock-D.
NE(Sasse-R) Solid Republican
NH(Shaheen-D) Lean Democratic
NJ(Booker-D) Solid Democratic
NM(Udall-D) Solid Democratic
NC(Tillis-R) Tossup Democratic. +2D
OK(OPEN-Inhofe-R) Likely Republican
OR(Merkley-D) Solid Democratic
RI(Reed-D) Solid Democratic
SC(Graham-R) Solid Republican
SD(Rounds-R) Solid Republican
TN(Alexander-R) Solid Republican
TX(Cornyn-R) Lean Republican
VA(Warner-D) Likely Democratic
WV(Moore Capito-R) Solid Republican
WY(Enzi-R) Solid Republican.
+2D 53D 47R
2018 US Senate Election- US Senate seats likely to change parties.
Democratic
ND(Heitkamp-D vs Cramer-R)
MO(McCaskill-D vs Hawley-R)
IN(Donnelly-D vs Messer/Rokita-R)
Republican
AZ(McSally-R vs Sinema-D)
NV(Heller-R vs Rosen-D)
TN(Blackburn-R vs Bredesen-D)
MS(McDaniel-R vs Espy-D)
Sherrod Brown(D-OH) and Beto O'Rourke(D-TX) in 2020?
Sherrod Brown(D-OH) wins the 2018 OH US Senate Race.
Mike DeWine(R-OH) wins the 2018 OH Governors Race.
Could Democrats win back Sherrod Brown's OH US Senate seat in a 2022 Special Election if Brown is elected President or Vice President?
Does Beto O'Rourke(D-TX) have to win the 2018 TX US Senate Race to be a viable Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate?
2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee- Brad Henry(D-OK)?????
Brad Henry is a popular former 2 Term Governor of Oklahoma- A Solid Republican state. He is pro choice and pro death penalty.
If Brad Henry is the 2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee. Trump loses by a landslide margin.
OK becomes a battleground state along with AR,KS,KY,LA,MS,MO,MT,NE-1,ND,SC,SD,TN,and WV.
TX turns into a blue state along with AZ,FL,GA,IA,ME-2,MI,NE-2,NC,OH,PA,and WI.
2020 MS US Senate Election- Could Democrats win that election if
McDaniel-R is the sitting incumbent(winner of the 2018 Special election) or the 2020 Republican primary winner(unseats Cindy Hyde Smith-R in the Republican primary). Democratic Nominee is either Hood(if he narrowly loses the 2019 MS Governors Race),Baria-D or Presley.
2018 US House Election- Democrats guide to a majority.
Democratic held US House Seats that are in danger of going Republican
MN-1
MN-8
PA-14
-3D/+3R
Republican held US House Seats that will go Democratic by a margin greater than 5 percent.
AZ-2. -2D/+2R
CA-39. -1D/+1R
CA-49. 0D/0R
FL-27. +1D/-1R
MI-11. +2D/-2R
MN-2. +3D/-3R
NJ-2. +4D/-4R
NJ-11. +5D/-5R
PA-5. +6D/-6R
PA-6. +7D/-7R
PA-7. +8D/-8R
VA-10. +9D/-9R
WA-8. +10D/-10R
Republican held US House Seats that will go Democratic by a margin less than 5 percent.
CA-25. +11D/-11R
CA-48. +12D/-12R
CO-6. +13D/-13R
FL-26. +14D/-14R
IL-12. +15D/-15R
IA-1. +16D/-16R
MN-3. +17D/-17R
NE-2. +18D/-18R
NY-19. +19D/-19R
NY-22. +20D/-20R
PA-1. +21D/-21R
PA-17. +22D/-22R
TX-23. +23D/-23R
Republican held US House Seats that could go either way.
CA-10. +24D/-24R
NJ-7. +25D/-25R
2020 Democratic Presidential Ticket includes a White Southern Governor and a Black US Senator.
Southern Governors.
John Bel Edwards-LA
Roy Cooper-NC
Ralph Northam-VA.
Black US Senators
Kamala Harris-CA
Cory Booker-NJ
Southern states like FL,NC,and VA will be blue states. GA and TX will be purple states.
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