If true, this will be devastating for all of us! I think Trump knows it's likely and is why the USPS is being sabotaged. I think it is also why Hillary Clintom warned Biden publicly not to concede until ALL the votes are counted.
A top Democratic data and analytics firm told "Axios on HBO" it's highly likely that President Trump will appear to have won potentially in a landslide on election night, even if he ultimately loses when all the votes are counted.
Why this matters: Way more Democrats will vote by mail than Republicans, due to fears of the coronavirus, and it will take days if not weeks to tally these. This means Trump, thanks to Republicans doing almost all of their voting in person, could hold big electoral college and popular vote leads on election night.
Imagine America, with its polarization and misinformation, if the vote tally swings wildly toward Joe Biden and Trump loses days later as the mail ballots are counted.
That is what this group, Hawkfish, which is funded by Michael Bloomberg and also does work for the Democratic National Committee and pro-Biden Super PACs, is warning is a very real, if not foreordained, outcome.
What they're saying: Hawkfish CEO Josh Mendelsohn calls the scenario a "red mirage."
"We are sounding an alarm and saying that this is a very real possibility, that the data is going to show on election night an incredible victory for Donald Trump," he said.
"When every legitimate vote is tallied and we get to that final day, which will be some day after Election Day, it will in fact show that what happened on election night was exactly that, a mirage," Mendelsohn said. "It looked like Donald Trump was in the lead and he fundamentally was not when every ballot gets counted."
270 to win seems to have a lot of great info on elections --- presidential, senate, house.
Here's their page with state by state polling averages for the presidential race:
November 3 - we're almost there!
"... His reaction [to the book] thus ranged from the mean-spirited to the constitutionally impermissible. My reaction ... my response? Game on."
Behind the scenes: People close to Trump have been worried about the book because Bolton was known as the most prolific note taker in high-level meetings, Jonathan Swan reports.
Bolton would sit there, filling yellow legal pad after yellow legal pad with notes. In short: Bolton saw a lot, and he wrote it down in real time. And when he left, the White House never got those notes back.
I really hope Bolton is sincere when he says this. Can't wait to see the book!
Release date: June 23
I got four more hearts from some very sweet people.
What the heck, it seemed so irrelevant when I had none, but now ... well I've learned something about myself.
Same in return!
This article has really disturbing implications -- a LOT of people in the US take statins. Among other things ...
"Patient Five was in his late 50s when a trip to the doctors changed his life.
He had diabetes, and he had signed up for a study to see if taking a statin a kind of cholesterol-lowering drug might help. So far, so normal.
But soon after he began the treatment, his wife began to notice a sinister transformation. A previously reasonable man, he became explosively angry and out of nowhere developed a tendency for road rage. During one memorable episode, he warned his family to keep away, lest he put them in hospital.
Out of fear of what might happen, Patient Five stopped driving. Even as a passenger, his outbursts often forced his wife to abandon their journeys and turn back. Afterwards, shed leave him alone to watch TV and calm down. She became increasingly fearful for her own safety.
Were all familiar with the mind-bending properties of psychedelic drugs but it turns out ordinary medications can be just as potent. From paracetamol (known as acetaminophen in the US) to antihistamines, statins, asthma medications and antidepressants, theres emerging evidence that they can make us impulsive, angry, or restless, diminish our empathy for strangers, and even manipulate fundamental aspects of our personalities, such as how neurotic we are."