Looking Ahead, NY is shaping up very nicely for Hillary (HRC Group) [View all]
A few reasons, outside of polling, to get excited about my home state of NY:
The primary is closed - Minimal influence by independents or Republicans. And Hillary has consistently lead Registered Democrats by around 65%-35%. Even in states she has lost.
The date to change party affiliation passed in October. It is already too late for anyone, except the first time voter, to switch over. This leads to a slightly older electorate as a result, which, again, favors Hillary.
Hillary had dominated large cities in almost every state (Including Detroit in Michigan). I'm pretty sure there is a somewhat large city somewhere in the state that might swing some votes her way.
She is very popular here. Her favorables in her adopted state are through the roof. She has a baked in home field advantage.
So yeah, the rules and structure and electorate and likeability all favor Hillary by a significant margin. Even with some losses between the 15th and NY, she is in a great position to take up a lot more delegates.
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