jg10003
jg10003's JournalHuffPost: Think Again Hillary Democrats: 10 Reasons Why She Could Lose this Fall
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/les-leopold/think-again-hillary-democ_b_9495560.html"It Can't Happen Here" free download
This book is getting mentioned a lot these days. If anyone wants to read it you can download it for free (public domain) here;
http://www.feedbooks.com/book/3659/it-can-t-happen-here
The DNC created super-delegates. Bernie using the rules to his advantage is just good politics.
Bernie is politician, not a saint. Saints don't get elected. Having a President Sanders is more important to our future then the nomination process. Universal healthcare, Wall Street reform, and a government that is not controlled by billionaires is more important than whether or not the super-delegates over rule the pledged delegates.
There are 28 reasons Bernie should stay in even if Clinton clinches the nomination.
1. Voters in Arizona are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
2. Voters in Idaho are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
3. Voters in Utah are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
4. Voters in Alaska are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
5. Voters in Hawaii are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
6. Voters in Washington are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
7. Voters in Wisconsin are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
8. Voters in Wyoming are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
9. Voters in New York are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
10. Voters in Connecticut are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
11. Voters in Delaware are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
12. Voters in Maryland are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
13. Voters in Pennsylvania are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
14. Voters in Rhode Island are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
15. Voters in Indiana are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
16. Voters in Guam are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
17. Voters in West Virginia are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
18. Voters in Kentucky are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
19. Voters in Oregon are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
20. Voters in Virgin Islands are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
21. Voters in Puerto Rico are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
22. Voters in California are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
23. Voters in Montana are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
24. Voters in New Jersey are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
25. Voters in New Mexico are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
26. Voters in North Dakota are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
27. Voters in South Dakota are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
28. Voters in District of Columbia are just as important as those in IA, NV, SC, and Texas.
Politico: Bernie's longshot victory strategy
This is what I have been saying, and it is possible
....But Sanders campaign aides say they’ll be able to keep Clinton from reaching the 2,383 delegate magic number she’d need to clinch the nomination at the convention and, by being close enough, convince the superdelegates to switch, as some did when they changed from Clinton to Barack Obama in 2008.
“Absent Hillary getting out of the race, I think there’s no way that this race isn’t going to be very close in pledged delegates, even if we succeed,” Devine said. “The best outcome for us, given the nature of the system, is a very close advantage at the end."
Here are the details of how it can be done:
There are 4051 pledged delegates and 713 super-delegates: total = 4764 total delegates.
(4764/2) + 1 = 2383 delegates to win the nomination.
Bill Clinton & Wasserman-Schultz are SD, therefore Hillary can clinch the nomination with 2381 PD (58.776% of total PD)
4051 - 2381 = 1670
1670 + 1 = 1671.
Bernie needs 1671 PD (41.250% of total PD) in order to prevent Hillary from clinching the nomination with just pledged delegates.
Of course 1671 PD is just the theoretical minimum that Bernie needs, this would still put Hillary just one SD short of the nomination. However, if Bernie were to win 1771 PD (Hillary wins 2280 PD) then Hillary would be 100 SD short of the nomination.
I know some will say that the super-delegates should not over rule the primary results. My answer to them is:
1) According the the DNC, the purpose of the super-delegates is to make sure the best candidate is nominated. And the best candidate is the one with the best chance of winning the general election.
2) The DNC made the rules. Bernie using the rules to his advantage is just good politics. Bernie is politician, not a saint. Saints don't get elected.
3) Having a President Sanders is more important to our future then the nomination process.
4) THE MOST IMPORTANT REASON; If Trump is the GOP nominee then he must be stopped. Although I support Bernie, if by the time of the convention it appears that Clinton is the stronger candidate against Trump, then she should be nominated (even if Bernie has more pledged delegates). The country can survive another Third Way corporatist. We cannot survive a strongman dictator. Anyone who thinks that the United sates could not have a Francisco Franco,
Ferdinand Marcos, or Vladimir Putin is very wrong.
Can someone explain why CA, NY, PA, & NJ vote so late in the primary season
NY - 4/19
PA - 4/26
WI - 4/5
CA, NJ, - 6/7
Aren't these states at least as important as Nevada, SC, and Kansas? Why does the south and midwest get to decide who the nominee is.
Bernie revealed how he going to win. (and how he can do it only 1671 pledged delegates)
PART 1:The first question at the Miami debate:
SALINAS: ....What is your pathway to make up the deficit, and can you realistically catch up?
SANDERS: ... And I think in the coming weeks and months, we are going to continue to do extremely well, win a number of these primaries, and convince super-delegates that Bernie Sanders is the strongest candidate to defeat Donald Trump.
PART 2:
There are 4051 pledged delegates [PD] and 713 super-delegates[SD]: total = 4764 total delegates.
(4764/2) + 1 = 2383 delegates to win the nomination.
Bill Clinton & Wasserman-Schultz are SD, therefore Hillary can clinch the nomination with 2381 PD (58.776% of total PD)
4051 - 2381 = 1670
1670 + 1 = 1671.
Bernie needs 1671 PD (41.250% of total PD) in order to prevent Hillary from clinching the nomination with just pledged delegates.
Of course 1671 PD is just the theoretical minimum that Bernie needs, this would still put Hillary just one SD short of the nomination. However, if Bernie were to win 1771 PD (Hillary wins 2280 PD) then Hillary would be 100 SD short of the nomination.
The last primary is June 14 and the convention starts July 25. A lot can happen in five and a half weeks, especially since the GOP has its convention first. If after the GOP convention the polls show that Bernie is a significantly stronger candidate against the GOP nominee then is Hillary, then the super-delegates will have to nominate him. Hillary can argue that she won the majority of pledged delegates, but at the convention all that matters is who can win the general election.
Raw Story: The momentum story: How the Bernie Sanders crowd can still win
The media and the political class have called it — Bernie Sanders has lost the Democratic Presidential nomination. They are flat wrong, and not for the first time.
Here’s the real story: the Sanders campaign is changing the laws of political physics — just like Trump did, only far more profoundly. The Bernie crowd is building the most extraordinary grassroots momentum I have ever seen. The movement is gathering strength by the day, and its chances to win are growing fast.
Full article here;
http://www.rawstory.com/2016/03/the-momentum-story-how-the-bernie-sanders-crowd-can-still-win/
Bernie can win the nomination with 41% of the pledged delegates
There are 4051 pledged delegates and 713 super-delegates: total = 4764.
(4764/2) + 1 = 2383 to win the nomination.
Suppose Bernie wins 1670 (approximately 41%) of the 4051 pledged delegates.
That means that Clinton will win 2381 pledged delegates; not enough to clinch the nomination.
That leaves Bernie (and us) 7 weeks before the convention to convince the super delegates that HRC can't win the GE. I think this may be Bernie's best chance.
The important thing to remember is: Even if Bernie "loses" every primary, he can still win enough delegates to put up a fight at the convention. So don't give up.
Profile Information
Member since: Fri Nov 5, 2010, 11:18 PMNumber of posts: 976
