runaway hero
runaway hero's JournalHillary is up again in the polls.
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbsnyt-national-poll-hillary-clintons-lead-over-donald-trump-narrows/Looking ahead to the general election in November, Donald Trump trails both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders among registered voters, although by slightly narrower margins than last month. Hillary Clinton now holds a six-point lead over Donald Trump, down from 10 points a month ago. Trump trails Bernie Sanders by 13 points, down from 17 points.
Contentious primary contests on both sides haven't turned off many primary voters from voting for their party's candidate in a likely November match-up between Trump and Clinton, even if these candidates are not their preferred primary choice. Seventy-one percent of Republican voters who did not support Trump in the primaries would still vote for him against Clinton. On the Democratic side, 72 percent of Sanders supporters would vote for Clinton against Donald Trump.
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Still, most voters are not content with the options of Clinton and Trump: while 46 percent of registered voters would be satisfied with that match-up, 52 percent want more choices. Most Republicans (55 percent) are satisfied, while most Democrats (52 percent) and independents (60 percent) are not. Eight in 10 Sanders supporters would like other choices.
The Republican Party and Donald Trump
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With Trump as the likely Republican presidential nominee, eight in 10 think leaders of the Republican Party should support him even if they disagree with him on important issues, including 62 percent of voters that did not back Trump in the primaries.
Last week, Trump met with one of those Republican leaders, Speaker of the House Paul Ryan. While Ryan remains unknown to many Republican voters nationwide, more view him favorably than unfavorably. But Trump is more popular and more familiar to Republican voters.
Republican voters think party unity is necessary. More than six in 10 think the party needs to be united in order for Trump to win a general election in November.
Does the Republican Party Need to Unite Behind Trump in Order to Win?
(Among Republican voters)
Total
Non-Trump Supporters
Yes 63%
64%
No 31
26
But can Trump unite the GOP? Most Republican voters (64 percent) think he can, but those who did not support Trump in the primaries are far less confident in Trump's ability to bring the party together.
And Republicans see their party as in need of unification. Eighty-four percent of Republicans say their party is divided now, and while most are hopeful about the future of the Republican Party, four in 10 are discouraged.
Primary voters who backed Trump and those who opposed him view the party's future differently. Most Trump backers (66 percent) are hopeful about it, while most non-Trump supporters are discouraged (66 percent).
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In contrast, 50 percent of Democratic voters say their party is united (although 48 percent say it's not). Still, 80 percent are hopeful about their party's future, compared to 55 percent of Republican voters who say that about their party.
Views on party unity are a reversal of what they were in 2008. Back then, 61 percent of Republican voters said their party was united, compared to just 45 percent of Democrats who felt that way about their party.
GOP primary voters themselves are behind Trump. Most say they will support Trump now that he is the likely Republican nominee, including 37 percent who will do so enthusiastically. Voters who didn't support Trump in the primaries are, perhaps not surprisingly, less enthusiastic.
Still, 61 percent of GOP primary voters said the process for selecting their nominee has been fair - including most Trump and non-Trump supporters.
More than six in 10 voters nationwide are at least somewhat surprised that Donald Trump has emerged as the likely Republican nominee. Democrats are especially likely to be surprised.
Still has work to do, but time to get it going.
Ed Rendell says there are too many ugly chicks in the US.
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/ed-rendell-ugly-women-america-attractive-women-article-1.2641503Ouch!
What are congressional democrats doing?
As Democrats portray Donald Trump as a dangerous leader for his party, most of them barely acknowledge he could be president. But some centrist Democrats say they’re ready and willing to work with the business mogul should he defeat their party’s nominee.
“The people will have a chance to vote. If Donald Trump is elected president there will be a great opportunity to sit down and have a conversation about what that agenda looks like,” explained Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.), who has long backed Hillary Clinton. “If he’s president, we’re going to have disagreement. But we’d better all figure out how to come up with an agenda for the American people.”
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Getting ready for a potential Trump presidency in their home states may just be good politics for moderate senators such as Heitkamp, Jon Tester of Montana and West Virginia’s Joe Manchin. They’ll be top targets for Republicans in 2018, a midterm year that could favor the GOP if recent trends of lower turnouts in nonpresidential elections continue. And it’s a good bet that they’ll need Trump voters to keep their jobs.
Trump should easily win North Dakota and neighboring Montana this fall if past is prologue: Montana went to Bill Clinton in 1992, while North Dakota hasn’t gone Democratic since 1964. He’ll also certainly win West Virginia and be favored to win Missouri as well: Both states have been in the GOP column since 2000.
For Democrats in those states, ignoring Trump’s political success, and by extension his supporters, would be a risky move. So some Democrats say they can see some opportunities for working together during a hypothetical Trump presidency, given that the Republican front-runner has based his campaign on being a deal maker — unlike any other prominent GOP candidate this cycle.
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/donald-trump-moderate-democrats-223168#ixzz48pLVvrED
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
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What are they doing here?
What are we supposed to do about illegal immigration?
Really, what are we supposed to do about it? Democrats have the latino base but also some of the working class. How do we come up with a solution for everyone?
Liz Warren
Has she done anything since going to senate? All I see she does is talk, and she attacked Obama over trade (TPP) not too long ago. And then she was too chicken to run for president, leaving Bernie to pick up the pieces and then left him to die on the vine. And she hasn't endorsed HRC yet either. Why not? She plays political games just as much as anyone and a few tweets at Trump doesn't mean anything.
I respect HRC and Sanders for at least having the balls to run. And Hillary is trying to run on the issues, not throwing rocks and then hiding her hands like Warren does.
Jill Stein SAVAGES Hillary!
https://twitter.com/DrJillStein/status/729351428720988161?ref_src=twsrc%5EtfwFollow
Dr. Jill SteinVerified account
?@DrJillStein
I agree w/ Hillary, it's time to elect a woman for President. But I want that President to reflect the values of being a mother. #MothersDay
Why though? Kind of harsh.
Here's the rest of it.
[link:
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Obama Third Term?
Would you support it? He would run better against Trump then either dem right now.
Five Thirty Eight: Sanders Shouldn’t Drop Out For Clinton’s Sake
We’re getting to the point in the primary season when people turn their focus to the general election. Since Hillary Clinton tore through the Northeast on April 26, the Bernie Sanders campaign has laid off staff and suffered fundraising setbacks. But Sanders has intimated that he will keep fighting, even contesting the Democratic convention in July. So, could Sanders damage Clinton’s chances in the general election? Do long, hard-fought primaries weaken the candidate who emerges from them victorious?
That question, which is probably even more pressing for Republicans this year, has preoccupied political scientists for decades. The hypothesis that divisive primaries are detrimental is intuitive: Candidates attack one another, dividing the party and alienating supporters. But research findings have been mixed.
In a 1998 study of presidential elections, University of New Mexico political scientist Lonna Atkeson challenged the theory by suggesting that divisive primaries occur when the party is already divided. In other words, divisive primaries are the symptom, not the disease. We’re in the midst of an open primary, but take recent incumbent presidents as an example: Gerald Ford in 1976, Jimmy Carter in 1980 and George H.W. Bush in 1992 ran into trouble in the general election, but not because they were challenged in the primaries. They attracted challengers in the primaries because they were already in political trouble. Controlling for factors that account for this political trouble — the strength of the economy and the president’s popularity — Atkeson found that the effect of divisive primaries on how well the nominee does in the general election drops out. In other words, divisive primaries don’t make the incumbent party vulnerable; the causation runs the other way.
And more here: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sanders-shouldnt-drop-out-for-clintons-sake/
Hopefully both sides can knock it off and realize that we should let him finish the race, then unite behind Hillary. No need for this sniping constantly.
#DropOutHillary is trending - Really?
Smh. Why do this now?
https://twitter.com/hashtag/DropOutHillary?src=tren
Working class whites - when did we lose them?
And what will we do to get them back. A Lot of defected to the GOP and now Trump, when they SHOULD be democrats.
What happened?
And will we get these voters back at some point?
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