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Dr. Jack

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Member since: Fri Jan 20, 2017, 01:43 PM
Number of posts: 571

Journal Archives

Wall Street donors are abandoning Trump and jumping ship to Biden

Not that I trust Wall Street mega donors or really want them getting their tentacles into the Biden administration but it is a good sign of the way the political winds are blowing. Best to get on the good side of the next President. Although I am of the mind that we should take pretty much any ally we can get (within reason of course) and we can sort out any differences and issues after the orange menace is gone.

New York (CNN Business)President Trump is promising four more years of low taxes, light regulation and a laser-focus on the stock market. Yet professionals on Wall Street are shunning Trump and funneling staggering amounts of money to his opponent.

The securities and investment industry donated just $10.5 million to Trump's presidential campaign and outside groups aligned with it, according to a new tally by OpenSecrets. It has sent nearly five times as much cash, $51.1 million, to Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden.


Democrats less likely to vote if they THINK Trump will steal the election

Also seems like Trump realizes this and that is why he has been making not so subtle hints that he will steal the election. Stop believing his lies and vote.


Donald Trump: Master of Illusions

Yesterday there were quite a few news stories that came out regarding Trump's plans to stay in power, even if (or more likely when) he loses. All over the internet and on TV people were in a panic. We heard liberals and Democrats screaming about how Trump is going to steal the election and that American democracy is near it's breaking point. The doom and gloom reached new heights. The one question I have is: Why does anyone believe what Trump is saying?

For years, Trump has made promises and have thrown out claims that always end up being total lies. Even before he got into politics. Go back to the 1970s, 1980's, 1990's, 2000's, there are examples after examples of Trump making claims, people believing him, and then it turns out to all be bullshit. Everyone in this country seems to be of the mindset that "Trump lies to everyone, except to me". We are all good at spotting Trump's lies to other people but for some reason, most of us seem to have a blindspot for when he is lying to us. Allow me to provide some examples:

-Trump started a fake university and stole millions of dollars from people who signed up. They were given wild promises about what the classes would be and how it would improve their lives. Most of us would look at that when "Trump University" was launched or in retrospect and say "who would believe that shit?".

-Trump had a TV show where he claimed to give contestants a world class business job if they won. Those jobs never existed and most of us would correctly say "who would believe that shit?".

-Trump claimed he had proof that Obama was born in Kenya and was was somehow not legally able to serve as president. Despite providing no proof, people believed him. You and I would say "who would believe that shit?".

-In 2016, Trump claimed he was going to build a 2000 mile wall on the Mexican border, that Mexico would pay for it, that he would bring back coal jobs, bring in universal health care, eliminate the federal debt, root out corruption. And a lot of people believed him. But Democrats rightly said "who would believe that shit?".

-Every since Trump started his trade war with China, almost every week we hear about how a new trade deal is coming up, any day now, and every single time Wall Street falls for it and every single time we say "who would believe that shit?"

-This year, Trump said coronavirus would just disappear like a miracle, that the economy would experience a "V shaped recovery", that U.S. cities are burning hellscapes, that BLM is invading suburban neighborhoods and spreading terror, that Joe Biden has dementia, and that the Democratic party is akin to the communist party of China. And, say it with me, people say "who would believe that shit?"

And yet, when Trump tells you that he can steal the election, that he can remain in power as long as he wants, that he is all powerful and can do anything with impunity, how do we react "oh my god! Did you hear what Trump said!? This is serious! We have to believe him on this one!".

Everyone, Republicans, Democrats, Independents, foreign countries, Wall Street, everyone needs to realize, Trump is lying to all of us. We all need to stop believing that "Trump lies to everyone else except to me." As the title says, Trump is a master of illusions. Yes he's dumb, very, very dumb but at the same time there is one thing he is very, very good at, which is making people believe what he wants them to believe. He wanted investors in the 1990's to believe he was one of the richest people in the country, when in fact he was broke. He wanted people in the 2000's to believe he had these amazing jobs for them, when in reality the jobs didn't exist. He wanted Republicans to believe that with the flick of his wrist, he could make the United States 1950 again. He wants Americans to believe that a deadly virus is all a massive hoax and nothing to fear, as to not hurt his reelection. And he wants you to believe he is all powerful and can rig the election so that you are discouraged and don't vote.

Donald Trump has one skill, one thing that he is better than almost anyone else at, and that is lying. He creates false realities to get what he wants. All of us, Democrats, Republicans, Independents, the poor, the wealthy, Americans, foreign citizens, we are all being conned. We all believe that Trump is lying to everyone else but he's not lying to us. The objective reality is that Trump has nothing but scams and lies. Nothing but smoke and mirrors. He's lying to Republicans when he says he is going to bring back 1920's style manufacturing jobs. He's lying to Americans when he says coronavirus is nothing to worry about. And he's lying to you when he says he's staying in power and there's nothing you can do about it.

The sooner we all realize that Trump is a grifter and a frail, cowardly old man that is dazzling all of us with grand promises and threats with nothing to actually back it up, the sooner we can all be done with his abusive nightmare.

The election is safe and secure. Don't believe the Republicans lies, don't disenfranchise youself

Look, I am aware that US elections aren't run 100% perfectly. There are issues and archaic rules that cause problems. But overall, the election is safe and secure. The one person who benefits if you believe it can be easily stolen or compromised is Donald Trump. He wants you to be discouraged and think there is no point in voting because you think he has total power to corrupt the election. He doesn't. He can fuck with it around the margins slightly but otherwise, we are as safe to vote now and to trust the election results as we were in 2008, 2012, fucking 1956, 1992, 2018, whenever. Nothing has changed other than some bluster and empty, vague threats by a con man with his back to the wall. Vote on election day, vote early in person, vote by mail. Just vote and know it will be a free and fair election. Have faith and don't let Trump's lies and threats ever influence or discourage you. That's all he has are mind games and cons.

On to election day and onward to a Biden presidency!

Stop believing what Trump says!

After all these years I still can't believe that so many people haven't figured trump out yet. He's not a brilliant political mastermind. He's not a strongman or a dictator. He's not going to steal the election through state legislatures or declare himself president for life. He's a con man. He's lies. Everything he says is bullshit with nothing to back it up. That's why he never built his stupid wall. That's why he never repealed the ACA. That is why he never eliminated the national debt. That is why he never released his tax returns. He's a con artist! He knows he can't steal the election. He knows he can't become president for life. He wants you to believe that he can do it if he wants so you get discouraged and don't vote. His lies only work if you believe in the version of him that he is projecting. That's his secret, he's fucking lying.


Don't panic. Vote

We live in scary, uncertain times. I don't deny that. But the United States can and will survive Donald Trump. We have survived an onslaught by the largest empire in world history, twice, a civil war, the greatest economic downturn modern world history, defeated the fascist powers in WW2, and beat the Soviet Union in a nuclear arms race. We can certainly survive a functionally illiterate, geriatric gameshow host who can barely walk and who paints his face orange. Trump is nothing. He is politically impotent, isolated and loathed, and has few powerful allies. He has no plan, no brilliant strategy to win the election or to say in power. He's a cornered animal, lashing out and screaming, hoping to scare enough of us into giving him what he wants. He can refuse to accept the election results. He can threaten to cancel the election. He can sue every single person who didn't vote for him. He can threaten protesters and say he won't leave the white house. It doesn't matter. He's just an old man, alone and afraid. He will be leaving the White House one way or another in January. How that happens is up to him.

So don't panic. Don't believe his bluster and lies. Don't let him intimidate you. Just vote and have faith in the United States.

I'm worried we aren't depressed enough

The world has gone to shit. Nothing matters anymore. Trump will steal the election and no one will do anything about it. It doesn't matter that Biden is up by close to double digits nationally, Trump is an Uber genius who will close the gap in the coming weeks. It doesn't matter that Biden has about $100 million to spend every week for the rest of the election and Trump can't afford to run ads anymore. Voter registrations and early voting is way up for Dems this year but it doesn't matter. Be cynical. Those votes will all be thrown out. And if Trump doesn't get us, the Russians will. People don't care about coronavirus. They don't care about the shitty economy or the abuses of power. And I worry that there is still too much optimism about the future among Democrats. If we are optimistic then the universe will plot against us. We will jinx the election. Depression is key. Be anxious, be sad, let the feelings of hopelessness wash over you. The fact that each and every one of you isn't depressed and anxious should make us all depressed and anxious.

That's how some Democrats sound right now. Stop it. It's god-damned irritating. For the love of God please stop with the pity party. And that's my rant for the day. Get out there and kick the bloated orange fat ass out of the people's house and back to his bed bug infested shit hole golf course. Remember, nothing wrong with a bit of hope.

Trump is in a horrible electoral position

We are 6 weeks from the election and the overall state of the race is about the same as it has been since.... probably spring 2019 when Biden announced his candidacy. Like all of you I read the daily articles about what Trump can do to win or how this event is making a loss more likely. But in the end, when you think about everything that has to happen for Trump to close the gap with Biden, something he has been completely unable to do for some 520 days in a row now (not an exaggeration, that is how long Bidens streak has been leading in the national polls), and everything that is working against him, his reelection seems nearly impossible.

In fact, Trump's best hope is to pull close to even and then win by razor thin margins. That is his best scenario. But think about all of the events that would need to happen and issues he would have to overcome in less than 6 weeks. Again, something he has been unable to do for over a year and a half.

1. He has to steal a lot of voters that have been backing Biden for over 500 days. Based on the polls and previous elections that is winning over millions, even over 10 million Biden voters in the next few weeks. Or there would need to be millions of "secret Trump voters" that aren't showing up in polls or voter registration data

2. He needs to overcome the massive Democratic advantage in early voting by having almost unheard of election day turn out

3. He has to also hope that the polls are very, very wrong. People point to 2016 but even then they were only off by the margin of error. And pollsters now weigh trump leaning voters heavier than they did in 2016. So even though polling methods are more favorable to detecting trump support, not less than in 2016, the errors need to be way, way, way larger in Trump's favor in 2020.

4. Any Russian interface and voter suppression they may be counting on needs to be orders of magnitude more effective than in 2016. And that would have to overcome how hyper aware people are to such problems in 2020.

5. Trump needs to somehow close this huge polling gap with almost no money while Biden has about $100 million he can spend every week until the end of the election

6. You can also add in issues of Trump and Trump campaign incompetence, the unpopularity of the supreme court fight, the increasing threat of an immanent COVID spike and economic collapse.

All of these things need to go Trump's way, somehow, and even then his best chance is winning by one of the closest electoral vote margins in American history. If they aren't terrified over at Trump HQ then they are clearly delusional.

The Dems should play the long game

With the Republican power grab with the Supreme Court, the Dems are free to make a power grab of their own, with little to no consequences. But instead of going balls to the wall and doing everything at once here is what I think their best plan is.

The Dems best move would be to eliminate the filibuster in the senate and then add DC and Puerto Rico as states. That would make Republican majorities in the House and Senate far more difficult to achieve and add quite a few likely Dem electoral votes from Puerto Rico. They could also potentially expand the size of the House, although that is probably the least pressing issue. It would be easy for them to do but not 100% required. Then bide their time, wait for Thomas to exit, which is likely not too far off, and ram through an ultra liberal justice to balance things out. If the conservative Supreme Court is fucking around too much, stack the courts. The first thing the Dems need to do is conslidate power where they can and play the long game. There are two conservative justices, Roberts and Gorsuch that are reasonable enough to know to not press their luck too much. Secure the White House and Senate to prevent Trump and McConnell 2.0 from ever coming to power and then fix the federal judiciary.

If they do too much at once, the backlash could hit the Democrats and we could end up with a choatic situtation where more states are trying to be added and the Republicans potentially retaking power in a few years and expanding the courts even further. The dems need to prevent a tit for tat retalation just a few years down the road. Their power grab should be securing the Senate and White House, or at least making it way, way harder for someone like Trump to win the presidency without the electoral vote, or for a hard right Senate to come back into existence. Learn lessons from McConnell. He has been planning this for likely 15 years. We need to strike hard but then bide our time and pick our battles.

Why not expand the number of House seats too?

If we are looking to fix all of the problems with the Republican power grabs from the last 20 years, getting rid of the fillibuster, adding Puerto Rico and DC as states, stacking the courts are all ideas I have heard thrown around. Those are all good ideas but one I haven't heard anyone mention is expanding the size of the House of Representatives. Like the Supreme Court, there is no set number of House seats. It has been close to 100 years since the House increased the number of members, which it can do at any time. One big issue is Republican gerrymandering. So why not combat that by expanding the size of the House as well?
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