Chuck Grassley(R-IA) gets re-elected to the US Senate. Kim Reynolds(R-IA) gets re-elected to the IA Governorship. Chuck Grassley resigns or dies during the middle of his 8th term. Governor Kim Reynolds appoints Pat Grassley to his grandfather’s US Senate seat. This will give Pat Grassley the incumbency advantage during the 2026 special election primary and general.
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37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Leahy-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)WA(Murray-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)AZ(Kelly-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)GA(Warnock-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
The Tossup Republican seats are
NC(Beasley-D vs McCrory-R)
OH(Ryan-D vs Mandel-R)
FL(Demings-D vs Rubio-R)
MO(Sifton-D vs Grietens-R)
IA(Finkenauer-D vs Grassley-R)
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37)CA(Padilla-D
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)OR(Wyden-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)NH(Hassan-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
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37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)3
40)MD(Van Hollen-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)VT(Leahy-D)3
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)3
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)2
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)PA(Fetterman-D)2
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)2
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)2
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37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)MD(Van Hollen-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CA(Padilla-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
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Democrats gain
CA-21
CA-25
CA-39
CA-48
CO-8
OR-6
TX-37
229D
Democrats lose
OH-13
PA-17
WI-3
226D
Republicans gain
FL-28
MT-2
NC-14
TX-38
WI-3
218R
Republicans lose
CA-21
CA-22
CA-25
CA-39
CA-48
IL-13
MI-6
WV-3
209R
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FL and OH will stay in the Republican column by a narrow margin.
Democrats will win
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)CA(Padilla-D)
39)VT(Leahy-D)
40)NY(Schumer-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NH(Hassan-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
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Leahy(D-VT) does not run, Sununu(R-NH) and Hogan(R-MD) both run.
37)HI(Schatz-D)
38)NY(Schumer-D)
39)CA(Padilla-D)
40)VT(Leahy-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)NC(Beasley-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)
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Leahy(D-VT) is completing his 8th US Senate term by 2023. He will be 82 years old when he seeks re-election in 2022. Leahy is younger than US Representative Don Young(AK),and US Senators Feinstein(CA),Grassley(IA),and Inhofe(OK). Leahy is likely to run for re-election in 2022. Between 2023 to 2029, Young(AK),Feinstein(CA),Grassley(IA) and Inhofe(OK) will be out of the US Senate because they will be over 90 years old. Leahy will be 88 years old by 2028/2029, when he completes his 9th US Senate term,starts his 10th term.
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If Sununu(R-NH) runs.
37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)AZ(Kelly-D)
48)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D)
50)PA(Fetterman-D)
51)NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-R
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)FL(Demings-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)OH(Ryan-D)
If Sununu(R-NH) does not run.
37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)CT(Blumenthal-D)
42)MD(Van Hollen-D)
43)WA(Murray-D)
44)IL(Duckworth-D)
45)OR(Wyden-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NH(Hassan-D) vs Bolduc-R
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
50)GA(Warnock-D)
51)PA(Fetterman-D)
52)WI(Barnes-D)
53)FL(Demings-D)
54)NC(Beasley-D)
55)OH(Ryan-D)
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