What is for breakfast Thursday September 19th?

Tea and toast again...still under the weather...it turns out I have food poisoning..probably from some scallops...I feel a little better.

What is for Breakfast? Wednesday September 18th

Sorry ...bit late covering for Iris...I had toast and tea...with honey...have a stomach upset but starting to feel better. Have a great day!

Strikers in Parma GM...picket lines formed...if you can drop off water, food or just show your

support...this is outside of cleveland ...west side. Good thoughts to those who are striking today.

GM strike:Nearly 50,000 workers walk out at America's biggest automaker/Teamsters stand with workers

"What we're covering here today
Workers walk out: The United Auto Workers union went on strike against General Motors late Sunday. It's the biggest strike by any labor organization in the United States since 2007. GM, America's largest automaker, has 46,000 UAW members on its payroll.
What happens next: The two parties are scheduled to resume negotiations Monday morning."

https://www.cnn.com/business/live-news/gm-workers-strike-uaw-negotiations/index.html

https://teamster.org/news/2019/09/hoffa-teamsters-stand-solidarity-striking-gm-uaw-members

Pray or send good thoughts for the GM folks...My son is striking and many people we have known for years will be walking a picket line...first time in years.

I am posting two Electoral College maps;one we win,the other we don't. (poll)

The difference is three states...blue wall states that we lost in 16...three states we either win or we lose the presidency in 20 and beyond...our situation is dire as you will see if you look at the maps objectively. the three blue wall states states in general'purple states at best... We need to run a moderate nominee in 20. Biden is the best candidate to retake those states and maybe even more rust belt and possibly Southern states (also becoming purple). He is popular in Ohio. So do we want our perfect progressive candidate or do we want to win...not sure we can do both. By the way, Biden is progressive but can also attract moderates. I have posted the link so you can make your own EC maps...show me I am wrong if you can...show me how we win without the blue wall states. Please take the included poll.


The map below shows how dire our situation is with the electoral college...and we need a candidate who can win the blue wall states...the first map shows us losing as we keep what Hillary took and fail to win back the blue wall...and keep in mind Minnesota was close...and could go the other way. If we don't rebuild the blue wall ...take MI, WI and PA, we will lose in 20 and beyond. For those yesterday who sneered at folks in Lordstown Ohio, maybe you should reconsider you harsh remarks.





The second map show what happens when we take three additional states...MI, PA and WI. We win! It is our only realistic path to the presidency...we have not take Georgia or Texas in decades...and have we ever won Arizona? What has changed so that now we win? We rebuilt the blue wall and Biden is the best candidate to do this.



https://www.270towin.com/maps/mP47v

Unlike previous runs, Joe Biden is building out Iowa campaign team with 'robust' hiring,

Biden is ahead in Iowa and has a very good team and ground game.

"Joe Biden is building the kind of top-tier Iowa organization that eluded him in his previous runs for president. The former vice president benefits from a deep well of goodwill in the state. And at campaign stops, Biden frequently promises Iowa voters he plans to work hard to earn their support...His campaign is making good on that promise by locking in existing backers and bringing in new support through extensive spending on social media and outreach from a growing staff roster. By Aug. 1, the campaign says it will have about 75 total staff members in Iowa, 60 of whom will be field staff...

...In fact, Biden's operation is now one of the largest — if not the largest — so far in the state, surpassing many of his Democratic rivals. U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren's campaign reported 65 staffers in Iowa as of July 1, while U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders had 48, former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke had 44 and U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris had nearly 50. South... Mayor Pete Buttigiege, has been hiring quickly in Iowa as well. His team went from 39 staffers on July 1 to 57 on July 22...

...Biden's campaign showcased its organizing muscle on July 20 when campaign organizers led volunteers in events in 20 communities across Iowa, reaching about 25,000 Iowans through door knocking, phone calls and speaking with voters, the campaign said."

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2019/07/29/joe-biden-iowa-caucuses-2020-organizing-hires-staff-social-media-facebook-fundraising-democratic/1766592001/

CNN...eviscerating Biden...I thought he did fine...but of course they want him gone.

On gun control, look to Biden

This was after Sandy Hook, sadly Biden failed to get the House to even take up this bill...but below is information that shows his long term committment for gun control...he had pushed for it early in the Obama administration. But of course the house was on fire, the economy had to be dealt with.

...'After Biden wrote the Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act in 1988, Republicans quickly filibustered, blocking the bill for four years. He steered "the Biden crime bill" through the lengthy filibuster by negotiating with Republicans and making revisions. "Every single line in that bill was written with every single major Republican a part of it," Biden said in a September 12, 1994, interview on the Charlie Rose show.
The Clinton administration and then-Sen. Biden repeatedly refused to make concessions that would have jeopardized the substance of the act, even after debate over the amendment we know as the federal assault weapons ban imperiled the entire bill. Instead of backing down, Biden took on Republican Sens. Phil Gramm and Orrin Hatch and faced opponents attacking the bill as taxpayer-funded "dance lessons and midnight basketball for robbers and rapists."...

...When the bill foundered in the House, Biden persevered. It reached President Clinton's desk thanks to an unexpected, eleventh-hour push from a "Lost Battalion of Republicans" led by Rep. Mike Castle of Delaware. He'd been swayed during a series of meetings with the House Speaker and other House Republicans, at which Biden was the only Senator in attendance.
The resulting legislation banned the manufacture of 19 types of semi-automatic firearms and criminalized the possession of high-capacity magazines. The process taught a critical lesson: When otherwise "pro-gun'" lawmakers have to choose between a crime bill including a gun ban and inaction, it is more than possible for them to vote to protect Americans. Unfortunately, the assault weapons ban expired in 2004...... Since then, numerous lawmakers, including Joe Biden, have tried and failed to get the ban renewed..

...Biden will likely support a new ban on assault weapons and push for improvements. His 2007 Crime Control and Prevention Act would not only have renewed the ban but required background checks for all gun purchases, closing the "gun show loophole.'" Biden has also called on Congress to address the relationship of mental illness to violence in the wake of the Virginia Tech shootings...'


https://www.cnn.com/2012/12/19/opinion/buckwalter-poza-biden/index.html

I have posted various map I encourage you to make your own and post them...https://www.270towin.com

This post has been cleaned up (map code) and updated.

This map shows what happens when we lose MI, WI and PA...what we have to overcome in terms of numbers...obviously we lose if this is the map. This is how Trump will try to win. My conclusion (yours may be different ) is that we barely lost in 16 in the MI, WI and PA and with the proper candidate, we can beat Trump in those states and out he goes. Biden was born in PA and has a connectin with those states. Thus I believe he has the best chance. He also has a shot in Florida which is huge. If we are not careful and run a disasterous candidate who has adopted issues that will not work in a general, we could lose states like Virginia too. We need a big tent approach. My final map is a Senate map demonstrating our difficulties in regaining a senate majority.

":


This map shows what happens if we take three states...MI WI and PA. This is rebuilding the the blue wall. And we barely lost...last time. WE WIN!!!!!!!!!! Please consider that we have no realistic path...one that has acutally happened in the last few decades without rebuilding the blue wall. A candidate like Biden with ties to the region can do this...the others I simply don't think they can or will.




This map shows us taking three different states ...Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina. I don't see Texas as flipping but I will show a map a bit later that addresses Texas. We do win in this scenario but how likely would it be that we win these states? It has been decades since we won Arizona or Georgia...as for Carolina we won in 08 barely. I also submit a progressive candidate who can appeal to moderates would have a better chance with this strategy. It is very risky as it is likely we will win none of those states.

"



Now here is Texas without any other states...although I do think Texas would be a blow out and we would win in other places...but we have not taken Texas in decades. Thus I consider it unlikely.



Below is a Senate Map. Please note the very light greyish area have no seats up in 20...as you can see...we have to win in what is now red or purple areas. It is very difficult...and I believe it is likely we will lose Doug Jones seat...so how do we retake the Senate without appealing to moderates and perhaps even some conservatives?

CNN just reported in their new poll that Biden still has the best chance to beat Trump...not even

close. So if we pick a different candidate, we will have a very difficult time winning a general and Trump could well get four more years. Mayor Pete, has 0% AA vote. was the only other interesting thing reported...except that Biden still leads Harris in the AA community. One other interesting thing is...Harris was not picked as best to handle health care, the economy and a range of other issues.

"Kamala Harris' jump in our poll is almost assuredly because of the debates. We know this in part because Democrats overwhelmingly say she did the best of any candidate and because she saw a large jump in our poll.

But she's weak on the issues when compared to the other top candidates. Only 10% of potential Democratic primary voters say she is best to handle health care. That drops to 6% on the climate crisis and the economy. On all of these top issues, three other Democrats do better than she does."

https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/democratic-primary-poll-july-2019/index.html