Dr. Jack
Dr. Jack's JournalA rather quiet election, wasn't it?
There was tons of talk about chaos and violence before and during election day. However, besides some random, sporadic nutjobs, all seemed very quiet. I would never consider ourselves out of the woods when it comes to political violence and the current Republican Party, but so far not much of a peep really. Unless you are seeing something I'm not, there doesn't seem to be much indication that anything has actually been brewing for quite some time. Maybe the FBI is keeping that stuff in check again under Biden? Fingers crossed, we are returning to normal, run of the mill America where elections are more dull and tedious, not Brownshirt thug pounding on your front door frightening
I'm calling it right now, Trump is going to start his own political party
If the rumors about the last few house on "Truth Social" are true, Trump just declared war on Ron DeSantis. He's terrified if DeSantis and the Republicans have to be wondering what Trump even brings to the table, at this point. I think we are about to see Trump's messiest divorce yet. There's no way he doesn't star his own MAGA Party after that. I feel there's a not insignificant chance that Trump is going to lead the GOP to total ruin.
Time to admit I was completely wrong
For the last week or two I've been saying that the Dems were absolutely screwed in 2022. My prediction was that the polls were underestimating the Republicans and that talk of early turnout was nothing but Democratic coping. I believed that the GOP would gain 35-40 House Seats, 3-4 Senate Seats, and would sweep many of the gubernatorial elections. And I also said if I was wrong I would admit it. So here I am, for the first time ever, absolutely shocked by the result of an election. Not even 2016 surprised me like 2022 did.
I've never been so happy to be so, so wrong. Not only did the GOP, to put it politely, shit the bed on these midterms but MAGAism seems to be a largely dead ideology. Trump's endorsement is like the kiss of death. There are still a ton of challenges ahead but I'm suddenly far, far less concerned about this country's future and the world suddenly makes much more sense again.
I still don't know how we did it but I'm hardly one to complain about such things. Good job all. You held it together even when people like me were losing their minds.
Are early voting numbers predictive of anything?
This is the first election in a long time where I feel like I really don't know what is happening or where things are headed. The polls are somewhat anemic for the Democrats and are pointing to very close results for both chambers of Congress. That's kind of what I assume will be the results and since polls the last few cycles have underestimated the Republicans a bit, I'm a bit pessimistic when looking at polls.
But then I see the special election results over the summer where the Democrats over performed their polls by a shocking degree. And there are reports of massive early voting turnout. These things are giving me some pause and make me wonder if the polls are significantly underestimating the Dems. However, I've also been here before. We are all susceptible to grasping at straws before an election in an effort to show ourselves that things might not be as bad as they look. I remember in 2016 seeing reports that there was a high level of interest in voting among Democratic constituents in Florida and people saying that was proof that Trump would lose the election badly. That clearly didn't happen. And I think we all remember the mirage that was a Blue Texas in 2020.
So today it's "look at these early voting numbers! Ignore the polls! Blue wave incoming!" among many Dems online. But does that actually prove anything? Is that actually a sign of "oh shit, something big is happening" or are people just deluding themselves by finding one piece of seemingly good news that is actually meaningless?
Andrew Napolitano: Why Donald Trump will soon be indicted
He’s not usually my “go to” legal analyst but he does sometimes make really good points, and this is one of those times. He does not mince words in this article. He says Trump absolutely will be indicted and that Trump has virtually no defense to fall back on. According to Napolitano, Trump is 100% fucked.
…
But the Bush-era statute, the one the feds contemplate charging Mr. Trump with having violated, makes it a crime of obstruction by failing to return government property or by sending the FBI on a wild goose chase looking for something that belongs to the government and that you know that you have. This statute does not require the preexistence of a judicial proceeding. It only requires that the defendant has the government’s property, knows that he has it and baselessly resists efforts by the government to get it back.
…
What will Mr. Trump say in his defense to taking national defense information? I cannot think of a legally viable one.
https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2022/aug/31/why-donald-trump-will-soon-be-indicted/
If Trump runs in 2024, how will it not be a disaster for the Republicans?
Does anyone else see the major problem that the Republicans are going to face in 2024? Not from
the American electorate in general but from the Republican Party itself? Let’s say Trump does run for the nomination. It’s extremely unlikely that he will be the only viable candidate. It’s not going to be like 2020 where the field is cleared for him and only a few nobody Republicans who are intentionally hamstrung by the rules will even try. There are going to be some real heavy hitters in the party going up against him and think about how that will play out.
Someone like DeSantis will not just roll over and treat Trump with kid’s gloves. The only way to win the nomination will be to go toe to toe with Trump and that is going to be brutal for all sides in the Republican Primary. They will turn into full blown enemies. Does anyone expect calm civility if Trump actually has to fight to be renominated? Then what? Trump wins with a minority of support after being brutalized by his own party or Trump loses. And guess who’s an extremely sore loser that likely won’t accept the results.
How exactly do the Republicans come out ahead in this scenario where Trump runs in 2024?
My theory: Mark Meadows is the secret witness Trump contacted
These hearings feel like a tv show and I’m starting to come up with my own fan theories.
My guess is that the mystery witness we haven’t heard from yet and who Trump tried to contact was Mark Meadows. A bit hard to believe but there were two articles I read today that make me think it’s at least possible. First, there’s the revelation that the January 6th Committee has been looking into his finances for some time. Second, Trump and his legal team reportedly think Meadows is “going down” and they are trying to push him as the fall guy.
If Meadows has recently agreed to cooperate and Trump knows that and has been calling, that could explain the seriousness of his “witness tampering”, as they put it.
You have to admit that would be a pretty good twist for the final hearing.
Barring Trump from running again should be a campaign issue this election
The 14 Amendment gives congress the power to bar someone from running for office. The Democrats should make barring Trump from running for office again a campaign issue. I think there’s enough support for some kind of accountability that this issue could gain traction with people.
Do you think the January 6th Committee has information on how Trump....
…planned to deal with people who would have protested against his coup attempt, had it succeeded? We already know Eastman admitted that there would be uprisings across the country, had his plan succeeded, even temporarily. Surely Trump or someone close to him had plans on how to deal with people protesting against or otherwise opposing his coup and it certainly would have been very dark and horrifying. Do you think that is something we are going to hear more about?
I have an idea on how the GOP can largely denounce Trump and rid themselves of him
I think it’s fairly safe to say that the second half of Trump’s term in office was way worse than his first. I’m not saying before 2019 Trump was a great guy and an amazing President, absolutely not but I would say 2020-2021 was when shit really, really hit the fan.
I have an idea on what the Republicans can do to both denounce Trump and save face, they can claim Trump’s first half in office was great and on the right track, but the second half, after 2019, that was when he became erratic. Still prone to greatness but at times he very much crossed the line, even committing crimes. But it’s not his fault! The Great President Donald Trump would never have done that! But tragically stroke victim Donald Trump would.
In November 2019, Trump went on an emergency middle of the night trip to Walter Reed. There are tons of indications that Trump had a stroke. And there is the Republican off-ramp. Claim that Trump was on his way to greatness but that his time in office was tragically destroyed by his stroke. After that, he wasn’t the same man, they can say, at least at times and he began having trouble telling right from wrong. Now we know January 6th was bad and it was illegal but this was due to grifters like Giuliani and Eastman taking advantage of a President still recovering from a stroke and who was under a lot of stress.
Charge those two, bring down the hammer of Justice to anyone who tried to overthrow our Republic, but Donald Trump was not well enough at the time to understand what was happening.
I think the spin writes itself really
Profile Information
Member since: Fri Jan 20, 2017, 02:43 PMNumber of posts: 675
