July 3, 2025

Question about if it has to go back to the senate

Will we have our fillerbuster back seeing that the majority can only use the 50 vote thing once per session? So it is almost certainly dead until at least next year.

June 24, 2025

The question is why did the bunker busters fail? WTF would be needed to destroy these bunkers?

https://x.com/CharlesPerreir7/status/1937589373022663044
https://x.com/allenanalysis/status/1937589274381099110
The question is why did the bunker busters fail? WTF would be needed to destroy these bunkers?

February 12, 2025

Trump is acting like a dictator

He is certainly trying to use his executive power in that way. Doesn't much give a fuck about congress or the courts. This is going to get ugly. If the judges don't stop him then the entire safety net is likely going to be attacked soon.

October 24, 2024

Seriously, what are you going to do if Trump wins?

Seriously, what are you going to do if Trump wins? I am going to hope like hell we hold the house to control the budget and even better the senate. Of course if we hold the senate then that brings up another question on why Harris couldn't win, but someone down ticket from Texas or Nebraska could win, while holding all purple and blue states downticket. Looking at A and B polling suggest that the downticket is doing about 3-5% better depending on the state. We're winning Arizona and even Ohio! Polling suggest by 5-8% and 2-3% for those states and We're doing 2-3% in Wis and Mi in senate races.

Sadly even if we do hold both houses Trump can do a hell of a lot of damage with the presidency.

September 1, 2024

My thinking As of 9-1 the current thinking is Harris will probably win.

As of 9-1 the current thinking is Harris will probably win.
3.5% nation popular vote win is my estimation based on serious polling state level polling, lower office polling and favorability. My ev is 293 for Harris, 245 for Trump!
This gives Harris: predicted real vote when it is said and done!
.7% win in Pa(2% poll wise comparably to 2016-2020).
2.5% win in Michigan(5% pollwise)
.8% win in Wis(3% pollwise)
.1% win in Ga
Neb second will be 2.5% Harris
Maine will likely give all its votes to Harris
Arizona will be Trump by .2%.
North Carolina will be Trump be .5%

The lower offices for senate and house are literal blow outs in these three states. Some showing their senate candidate up by 10-12%. Very healthy down ticket! The 2nd district of neb is 5% ahead in the polls and even the senate race is within 1%. Maine 2nd is very close if not polling ahead for Harris. Lets be honest Arizona if it was only on lower office support would likely go Harris too but I am choosing to be conservative because of the polls.

As it is closer to the election and polls have greatly strengthen in Harris favor I'll predict a 70% chance of her being elected the 47th president of the United states!

August 29, 2024

I think the republican goal is to do to America what the islamic revolution of 1979 did to Iran. At least in a way.

I think the republican goal is to do to America what the islamic revolution of 1979 did to Iran. At least in a way. The religious right wants to do this to america as they want to tell you how to act, what to read and what you can do in your life. This will greatly reduce the freedom you have in society.

Want to watch porn? Well, that is too bad!
Want to wear a dress as a man? Well, that is too bad!
Want to get married as a gay person? Well that is too bad!
Want to use ivf to start a family? Well, that is too bad! God decided to fuck you so suck it up bucko.
Want to get away from an abusive wife or husband? Well, that is too bad. Take it up the ass.
Want to have sex and use birth control or abortion? Well, that is a sin! We'll throw you in prison for using any of these methods.
Want to be a transwoman and work? WEll, that is too bad! YOu get to go to jail for being indecent.
Want to be gay? Well, they pass laws making it illegal soon enough! Look at what these pieces of shit are doing in Africa! Laws to ban homosexuality and the death penalty. wtf?

If these republicans have their way American women won't be able to wear skimpy clothing without being fucking fined or imprisoned like the old days of the 1920's or 30's. Look at some old beach photo's of woman of iran in the 1970s compared to after this revolution.

The maga republicans really want to go back to the 19th century where one worked until they died without any protections, a woman was a baby making a machine and there were very little freedoms to live otherwise. If Trump wins this election literally every workers protections of the late 19th century and 20th century is going bye bye! This election is about rather we continue forward or go back to that reality.

August 14, 2024

What kind of sentence will Trump get on Septemember 18th?

What kind of sentence will Trump get on September 18th? I think the judge will hand down a 3 month prison term. Fingers crossed.

July 25, 2024

my full statement on the protests in Washington, D.C. yesterday.

https://x.com/VP/status/1816490945501708660

I agree as destruction of property is just wrong and shouldn't ever be ok. We should also care about life of the people living in gaza and put serious pressure on israel to stop but both can be condemned as the wrongs that they're.

July 25, 2024

what is your opinion of the state of the presidency and congress as of 7-25?

what is your opinion of the state of the presidency and congress as of 7-25?

My opinion is Harris will likely lead Trump by 3-4 points in the 538 by mid September. I believe she will pull in the demographics necessary and maintain this respectable lead until Election day. The youth vote, black vote and hispanic vote will come home to us enough for us to pull it off.

The rust belt will probably be close so it will come down on rather we get pa or not...I'd choose the governor of that state to enhance our chances. Nevada will be in our column, whereas arizonia and Ga will be within 2-3 points Trump .

~65% chance of winning

I think we'll win the house with around ~220 seats but lose the senate as mt and wva will go republican.

July 18, 2024

If Harris is our nominee who do you feel would be the best vice president to win this?

If Harris is our nominee who do you feel would be the best vice president to win this? I feel that Harris should choose Gretchen Whitmer as she'd lock up Michigan and possibly pa and wis that we need to win the election. This would be a powerful ticket and would be one of the few that can beat Trump.